1. RIMM 一月和四月 ER 前, 股价到最高, MM 似有意推高股价,Set up 在ER 后打压.
加之ER前普遍看好, 分析师评级也水涨船高. 而这次正相反, 分析师评级
五/五分, MM 似在ER前借iPhone有意打压RIMM, Set up for big jump after ER?
2. ER 预期也不高, 1.06, 只比上季多七分. 而过去四季平均ER Q/Q 增长是 0.09c
Average ER growth: Q/Q 12%. 如不出意外, 1.08 EPS 应该不困难.
3. 上一季 Revenue growth was 11% (Q/Q), 但 ER growth was 6.5% (Q/Q) 低于平均值. 似有Delay ER 到这季之嫌. RIMM 在 commercial and consumer market has strong growth, and still can keep profit margin, there is no reason the ER disconneted with revenue growth.
4. TA 指标同样支持以上分析.
Worst case: 准备OMT call 喂鳄鱼.
