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耶林听证,讲稿发布,没有惊奇。10点的听证虽然有几个鹰派人物,估计老太太的头一遭过堂,不会过于刁难。反弹走入第四天,从上周三的1738到现在的1807,短短四个交易日,涨了69点,人气也从危机边缘突然回到了风平浪静。纵观2007年以来的下跌回调,有如下特点。

1、从高点跌到谷底,一般历时20到40余交易日。这次跌得急,从时间上看没展开。
2、第二腿下跌前,反弹过程中最长的连升延续四天。
3、过了谷底,重启上升,出现过连续五天的上涨。

耶林10点听证结束后,如果没有新的东西,股市有可能拉回。多方等待耶林有利多的信号,实际上没变化就是最好的。今天盘前美元对新兴经济体的货币下跌。8:30后,美元涨回。巴西货币对美元汇率离最低已经不远,该国在2月26日美东时间2pm议息。中国今晚报进出口贸易数据。收节日影响,该数据的变化可能被随意解读。另一个议息的国家是印尼,美东时间今晚11pm出消息。该国货币目前走势尚可。

美国国债上限又临近截止日期,明天共和党就说要在众院出提案。麻烦的是明天过后国会要休会直到二月底。这帮政客活没出,又撂挑子啦。

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