Heading into the Election Day on November 8, the race for the White House is tightening.
不管谁当选,市场都会恐慌,即使星期二深夜出结果,懂美国大选的人都知道:还没有完!要到12月底选举人的正式投票才算定。
选举人会不会反水?会的!历史上有过。
再者希拉里的邮寄门事件还没完,FBI起诉,导致选举人反水,,等等。床铺当选也一样。
总之没有完,市场要sell off 一阵,Hedge your portfolio buy:
<1> iPath S&P 500 VIX Short-Term Futures ETN:
The CBOE Volatility Index (VIX) is often known as the ‘fear index’ as it tends to outperform when investors are skittish about the market’s current direction. And this is exactly the case right now as the ETN tracking this benchmark, VXX, climbed 7.9% in the last couple of sessions. The ETN focuses on the S&P 500 VIX Short-Term Futures Index, which reflects implied volatility in the S&P 500 Index at various points along the volatility forward curve. It provides investors with exposure to a daily rolling long position in the first and second months VIX futures contracts. The note has amassed $1.9 billion in AUM and trades in heavy volume of more than 28.1 million shares a day on average. It charges 89 bps in fees per year.
<2> SPDR Gold Trust ETF (GLD)
Gold is viewed as a store of value amid difficult times. The price of gold broke the $1300 level on election fears with products tracking this bullion like GLD adding 1.3% over the past couple of sessions. The fund tracks the price of gold bullion measured in U.S. dollars and kept in London under the custody of HSBC Bank USA. It is the ultra-popular gold ETF with AUM of $39.5 billion and expense ratio of 0.40%. Volume is heavy, exchanging 10.8 million shares in hand per day on average.
<3> iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF (TLT)
The U.S. government bonds tracking the long end of the yield curve often carry a safe haven status. The flight-to-safety on election fears led these bonds higher and pushed the yields lower. Though the ultra-popular long-term Treasury ETF – TLT – lost a modest 0.3% in the past two sessions on Fed actions, it will likely gain in the next few days as more investors pile into American debt ahead of elections. The fund tracks the ICE U.S. Treasury 20+ Year Bond Index, charging 15 bps in annual fees. It has AUM of $6.7 billion and an average daily volume of about 8.3 million shares. Holding 33 securities in its basket, the fund focuses on the top credit rating bonds with average maturity of 26.49 years and effective duration of 17.82 years.
<4> iShares Edge MSCI Min Vol USA ETF (USMV)
Low volatility products generate impressive returns or often outperform in an uncertain market while providing significant protection as these funds include more stable stocks that have experienced the least price movement in their portfolio. As such, USMV could be a great pick with AUM of $13 billion and an expense ratio of 0.15% though it was down 0.4% over the past couple of days. It offers exposure to 176 U.S. stocks having lower volatility characteristics than the broader U.S. equity market by tracking the MSCI USA Minimum Volatility Index. The fund is well spread across a number of securities with none holding more than 1.54% of assets.
刚快买!现在还有时间。