当然是金三赢了

川金会的公报,完全是一个无约束力的东西,因为大家都知道川普说话不算数,出尔反尔,不必当真。这不,才说了停止联合军演,美国国内就传出来,军演不会停。所以说,这个公报,对美国是没有任何约束力的,同样,对朝鲜也没有什么约束力。

 

既然是一个逗你玩的川金会,那么意义何在?意义对朝鲜是极大的:最终实现了美国和朝鲜最高首领的面对面会谈,这种会谈等于是川普当着全世界的面承认了朝鲜政权的合法性,即使这种承认未必能带来两国关系的正常化,但却会极大提高金三的国内和国际声望。所以,我们可以说,朝鲜的核讹诈是非常成功的,而老实地遵守去核的伊朗无疑当了一次冤大头。

 

认为金三真会认真弃核是幼稚的,朝鲜的核开发规划是战略性的,自金日成就开始,金正日时代加速,成果落在金正恩头上。朝鲜打一开始就是要用核武器作为和美国谈判的筹码,但历次和美国的协议,最后都是美国率先撕毁为结果。所以,不获得美国可核查的永久性不可逆的安全承诺,那么朝鲜就不会执行可核查的永久性的不可逆的去核。

 

至于给朝鲜的经济援助,最好的结果就是联合国的救济。朝鲜期望的经济繁荣要看朝鲜能否搭上全球化的车,至少能否赶上东亚经济圈的车。

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