市场期待 1-2 周内反弹 5-7%

1. 市场期待是怎样算出来的： options/futures data of many asset classes.

2. 这次抛售的主力不是 MM： look at country specific ETFs.

3. MM 在观望： credit spead increased, but far away from alarming level. Yield curve improved as market expect Fed to cut 0.5% interest rate by March 18. No target price decilnes for most equities in SP 500.

SPY 预测：http://www.smarttrading.club/SPY/price-forecast.html

QQQ预测： http://www.smarttrading.club/QQQ/price-forecast.html

4. 民众对 coronavirus 恐慌逐渐减少。