真正应该让人吃惊的,在选举结束后,作为一个系统,美国政坛具有违反"熵增加原理"/自动回到"系统的初始有序状态 -- 两党有序的政治争斗状态"这一自我回归的能力。
美国政坛系统竞选期间愈演愈烈的混乱倾向,是人类原始自我的表现;系统在选举结束后自动回归有序的能力,是人类超越自己的证明。美国政坛在两种状态之间这一大致游刃有余的自我调控能力,出自于"认赌服输"这一人类竞争中最古老的原则。
文明的进化,并未让社会放弃用"认赌服输"这一古老原则,作为衡量某人是否"有荣誉感"的基本标准(之一)。
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拜登上任总统后的第一个中期选举临近了。从目前的民意调查看,共和党很有希望夺回众参两院多数。
共和党在此次中期选举中的诸多候选人,是2020年大选结果的否定者。这些人依旧坚称,2020年大选中,川普输掉的那些摇摆州中,有普遍的选举舞弊现象。坚持这一与事实相悖的众多共和党候选人背后的支持者,是美国前总统川普先生。
2020年大选后,川普前总统的一系列"认赌不服输"行为,让美国政坛在"混乱/有序"两种状态之间自我调节的能力迅速消失,甚至威胁到美国民主体制的正常生存。
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说到底,"认赌服输"是"有荣誉感"人们的品行,是民主政治游戏得以延续的基本要素。川普先生没有这一品行,他不是一个有荣誉感的人。他是美国民主制度的一个威胁。
No, Mr. Donald Trump is not an honorable man, nor is he a man of honor. Not at all.
This "game" of left/right has been going on since French Revolution invented the term left/right, If history has tought us something, that is: In the end, Liberal/Progressives will win over Reactionary/Conservatives - so it has been for 2.2 centuries on planet earth
而川普在美國當選是這股Dark enlightenment高潮的巔峰,但是就像法西斯主義與任何法國大革命之後Reactionary搞出的民粹規律一樣,十幾年内必然自行鳥獸散——川普被代替也同樣影響了歐洲的選擇one way or another。
至於CCP……真的,只要是習近平當政,那誰都能‘反共’並且取得政績——只要他想。simple is that.
neshershahor 发表评论于
回复 'ShalakoW' 的评论 :
其實這種“他們愛川普勝於他們恨CCP”並不是同類一代移民的專利,Iranians, Cubans, take your pick...
http://iranpoliticsclub.net/
On this websitesite you can find worst anti-Islam rhetoric that no Muslim dare to defend, while also equally pro-Trump propaganda. Their brain are being fed with some kind of falsehood via education or social norms, when they've left it behind, there will be a big vaccum within their head - and the easiest way is to replace with something else - usually something similar.
Russian White Emigre during interbellum believed in fascism and nazism, alot ex-muslims became "devout christian" (or Hindu, if he/she is Pakistani).
這類例子不要太多,華人……或者說反共的北美華人,也一樣
ShalakoW 发表评论于
neshershahor: 這個道理很簡單:現在的wumao是更恨Biden還是更恨Trump?Answer is Biden Obviously...
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Yes, that's indeed obvious.
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但我这里想说是,在美国的一大批海外华人,2020年支持川普时的理由是: 他反共最坚决,因此我们支持他,哪怕他是的混蛋我们也支持。这也说得去,因为他们对中共(CCP)极其痛恨。对他们来说,恨中共是头等大事。只要能打击中共,川普对美国民主制度的摧残,对他们来说小事一桩。
【他们恨中共胜于他们爱美国 -- they hate CCP more than they love America.】
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但拜登上任两年来证明,他打击中共的力度远胜于川普:拜登从上任第一天开始,就着手建立一个遏制中共的国际联盟,而且两年就取得和明显的成绩 -- 中共在国际上异常地孤立。即便如此,海外华人依然支持川普/反对拜登。
【他们爱川普胜于他们恨中共】: they love Trump more than they hate CCP.
ShalakoW 发表评论于
neshershahor: ...這篇文章的内容提及的事(Trump has no Honour)才是EU做出簽署《中歐投資協議》根源/動力。
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An interesting point that I may have to think over before I get back to you.
neshershahor 发表评论于
如果說對付CCP/反共的話,那麽。。。So far I see it: Biden did it much better than Trump did in 4 years combined
這個道理很簡單:現在的wumao是更恨Biden還是更恨Trump?Answer is Biden Obviously...
neshershahor 发表评论于
你之前發表那篇《拜登的外交》你寫道過EU和CCP簽署了《中歐投資協議》是Biden的外交損失,Granted...but,(From where I stand I think that)這篇文章的内容提及的事(Trump has no Honour)才是EU做出簽署《中歐投資協議》根源/動力。
dong140: "认赌服输"是君子的品质。川粉都说老川是(真)小人
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1) 2016年竞选期间,投票之前川普就已经得出结论:这个大选的结果不可信,有舞弊...。投票后川普获胜,他马上忘记了自己的结论, 华人支持者们也没记着。因为川普赢了,所以没有舞弊,结果不是做局。否则一定作弊。
2) 2020年竞选连任时,川普的华人很大一部分华人支持者只相信一条:川普反共,拜登(民主党)不反共(看看奥巴马多软弱云云), 因此,即便川普是个恶棍我也支持他, 后来演变成"我们喜欢真小人". They certainly do, don't they?
3)以单一原因作为投票标准的人,在民主选举中不少见。拜登上任两年来,对中共的打击远比川普狠得多,却并未赢得这些只根据"反共坚定与否"为标准的华人的支持。
4)人们改主意是常有的事,他们现在改口说,我是"保守派" (Oh you are?) 誓与宪法共存亡。(Oh how touching, mountains are having tears in their eyes)。 但他们绝不支持彭斯,尽管彭斯是美国政客"保守的标杆", 关键时刻保卫了宪法,"但他抛弃川普!, 他说选举没有作弊.." 华人川普支持者齐声抗议道...
They always have a beautiful way of words, don't they?
ShalakoW 发表评论于
'HenryCharles':可以自己看看...
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他们什么都知道。
That's the problem.
HenryCharles 发表评论于
可以自己看看:
LOST, NOT STOLEN: The Conservative Case that Trump Lost and Biden Won the 2020 Presidential Election
https://lostnotstolen.org//wp-content/uploads/2022/07/Lost-Not-Stolen-The-Conservative-Case-that-Trump-Lost-and-Biden-Won-the-2020-Presidential-Election-July-2022.pdf
"Of the 64 cases brought by Trump and his supporters, twenty were dismissed before a hearing on the merits, fourteen were voluntarily dismissed by Trump and his supporters before a hearing on the merits, and 30 cases included a hearing on the merits. Only in one Pennsylvania case involving far too few votes to overturn the results did Trump and his supporters prevail."
结论是:
"But there is absolutely no evidence of fraud in the 2020 Presidential Election on the magnitude necessary to shift the result in any state, let alone the nation as a whole. In fact, there was no fraud that changed the outcome in even a single precinct. It is wrong, and bad for our country, for people to propagate baseless claims that President Biden’s election was not legitimate. "
BeijingGirl1: 问好 Shalako。 网上和美国群体的预计很不一样,各执一词
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Thank you, and the same to you.
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民主党有两个希望可以寄托
1) 报道说,这次中期选举是传记录的高投票率。通常情况是,高投票率有利于民主党,但川普从政后,美国政坛/大众失去了以往的"通常情况";
2) 与前次选举前一样,这次民调机构又搞砸了,调查结果与实际情况严重不符, 民主党的选情不但没有调查的那么差,恰恰相反,民主党的实际选情会非常好,最后的选举结果是民主党大获全胜。
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民主党混到这个份儿上,也是可怜。... 他们为什么对那些不自己是男是女都不确定的人如此热心,以至于宁愿 screw up so bad? 2020年大选时在网上遇到一个华人,他的头像标志从"Black Life Matters” 变换到 "Defund the Police", 当时提醒他的政治智慧,他还有些不服气。 Now, hopefully, he has learned his lesson, only in a hard way though.
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By the way, welcome to my castle.