势与行,从武则天以及韦后看中国特色的政治学模型

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武周代唐,武则天花了几十年,终于成功。

韦后想复制武则天的经历,行动过急,身死族灭。

两者现象上一成一败,实际则都败了。武氏一族最终还是被从权力体系中移除了。

这个权力体系是有惯性的:天下应该姓李。

这股贯性没消失或者减弱,硬改,硬抗是不行的。

这个贯性可以视为势。

出头的皇帝可以视为行。

 

时机不到,逆势而动,必败。

时机在,顺势而动,行还要反哺,加强势才能长远。

否则,皇帝昏庸,只是消耗势,势尽就改朝换代。

 

古代如此,现代也如此。

内战时工农反蒋是势(蒋败毛强邓弱),蒋败则分红获利是势(毛由强变弱邓由弱变强)。

二战后美国成为霸主,享受贸易军事科技金融霸权是势。拿这些霸权谋取私利则是对势的消耗。

 

 

 

 

 

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