多吉 - 博客 | 文学城

(2008-09-12 19:39:20)

操盘第一年，我就赔了60,000多英镑,我学到了些什么?
我在伦敦期货交易市场里的第一年，作为一个现场独立操盘手，我买卖了8804份英国股指期货合同，平均每天大约40份合同。结果是我损失了61，620英镑——平均每个交易日损失267英镑。我有55%的时间是赚钱的,那些日子平均每天赚1009英镑的利润。而其它赔钱的日子,我平均每天亏损1780英镑。我收入最多的一天是8730英镑，[阅读全文]

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不须放P，试看DJ大拿！[图]

(2008-09-12 14:22:19)

最近俺有话痨倾向，越来越自恋。。。
钱越来越多，精神越来越贫。。。
不好，关禁闭滴干活。。。
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U.S. House Price Decline Could Be Worse than Great Depression

(2008-09-11 20:10:00)

,EconomistShillerSays
PostedSep04,200801:36pmEDTbyHenryBlodgetinNewsmakers,Recession
Related:^gspc,fre,fnm
Eightyearsago,YalesuperstarprofessorandMacroMarketschiefeconomistRobertShillerfamouslycalledthetopofthestockmarketinhisbookIrrationalExuberance.Then,ayearbeforethehousingbubblepeaked,hepredictedthecolossalbustwearenowexperiencing.
IfyourecognizeShiller'sname,it’sbecaus...[阅读全文]

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大萧条与当代的比较：除了这些，还有什么不同？

(2008-09-11 16:45:08)

Inthe30's,theUSwastheworld'sbiggestcreditor.Nowitistheworld'sbiggestdebtor.
Inthe30's,theUSwasenergyindependent.Now,,,noway...
Today,thederivativesmarketisabeastthelikesofwhichtheworldhasneverseen.
Backthen,theUShadahugefoodsurplus,andastrongmanufacturingbase.
Onethingthathasn'tchangedisthattheFedstillanswerstothebigbankers...
LEHisasurvivorfromthegreatdepressionin1930s,...[阅读全文]

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一场游戏一场梦。。。

(2008-09-11 16:31:30)

thewholemarkethasbecomeonegiantcasinoofpyramidschemeslately,andtheword"investment"hasbecomeobsoletetoallofus...
Theonlythingworksnow:
DTtosurvive,
andGambletowin...
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Is it a firesale on LEH? Firm might be bot above $5

(2008-09-11 14:11:20)

Bloomberg
PrivatefirmsinterestedinLEHvalueitataround$5billion;today'sclosingsetsLEHataround$3billion.Meansitwillbesoldovertheweekendforaround$6-8ashare...
Anythoughts?
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SPX 1243.47，time to 卖。。。

(2008-09-11 12:54:52)

Ido...
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SPX1235如果突破站稳了，收市上看1244。。。
来源:多吉于08-09-1111:06:57
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我觉得这两天会有大转折，准备杀进LEH WM之流做多

(2008-09-11 07:08:54)

好久以来头一回感觉可以long金融而不是DT
ABK5.2
MBI10.5
WM1.55
LEH？？DT先。。。
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LEH的valuation比当时的Bear还低，银行股今日血流成河。。。

(2008-09-11 05:44:46)

不过也是个DT的好机会，开盘LEH的gapdown之后，会有个>20%的反弹，抓住了，thedayisover...
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