逆转!经济学人预测:川普以276张选举人票胜出

文章来源: - 新闻取自各大新闻媒体,新闻内容并不代表本网立场!
被阅读次数

逆转!经济学人预测:川普以276张选举人票胜出

《经济学人》自8月以来首次预测川普当选。(美联社)

距离美国总统大选仅剩2週,英国《经济学人》最新预测出现逆转,预估川普胜选机率为54%,川普将以276张选举人票击败贺锦丽的262张,重回美国总统职务,这是《经济学人》自8月以来,首次预测川普当选。

综合媒体报导,《经济学人》利用预测模型参考近来民调结果,以及美国每个州的经济状况、人口特徵和过去选举结果等来模拟,模型计算出川普胜选预估机率为54%,较过去一週飙升6个百分点,贺锦丽则仅剩下约45%,这是《经济学人》自8月以来,首次预测川普当选。

预测模型显示,在7个关键摇摆州中,川普可望夺下亚利桑那州、乔治亚州、北卡罗莱纳州、宾夕法尼亚州和威斯康辛州等5州,而贺锦丽则在密西根州和内华达州2个摇摆州,以51%、52%微弱优势领先。

全美538张选举人票中,《经济学人》模式预估,川普将以276张选举人票击败贺锦丽的262张;不过摇摆州中拥有最多19张选举人票的宾州,将成为选战关键,《经济学人》分析,如果贺锦丽在宾州输给川普,那她赢得总统大选的机会只有13%,而川普若丢掉宾州,胜率则只剩下10%。

旁观者XWY 发表评论于
现在川普可以承诺接受这次大选结果了吧。
起个破名想半天 发表评论于
拜登就是一伪总统。
bingwood 发表评论于
自由時報?呵呵????
闲聊几句 发表评论于
让子弹再飞两周
Bhistory 发表评论于
美国军队效忠总统吗?

为了防止腐败强权政府,宪法设计的是,军队效忠宪法,所有军队的入列和提拔过程,均体现效忠宪法

国家机器其他职能部门也是效忠宪法

这造成COG后,绝大多数部队仍然认可川普,时至今日,除US Army,主要支持拜政权,其他Navy, Marine,大部Air Force,和空间军 Space Force,基本仍认川普。核按钮也不在拜政权手中。

过去4年,是史上最大的钓鱼执法,收集叛国集团证据的4年

It is about over, historical 4 years! God wins, not only in US, but in Europe! You will see.

提早投票!
thatwillbenice 发表评论于
愚人节的兴奋
Bhistory 发表评论于
2020年11月6日,军方实际数据确认川当选。注意时任CIA局长Gina Haspel在CIA德国情报站参与实时操控大选,在几天后Delta force查抄服务器过程中被枪击,此后被收监,叛国罪。

川1月6日国会认证宣布拜当选后,川在1月20日前完成了国家紧急状态的一切手续,即国家受外部势力侵略,转入continuation of Government(COG), 军方接管国家。虽然军方监控数据确认川普当选。但川认为DS劫持媒体和民意,会鱼死网破,如果川坚持就职,DS会发动内战,民众不知情,国家会陷入内战。所以川选择第二套方案,即进入COG状态,权力交给军方。1月6日没有公开争总统大位。

军队的任务变成维持国家和平,同时取得窃国集团犯罪记录。注意拜登不就职,叛国罪还不成立,就职叛国罪就成立了。

注意拜登1月20日就职,没有坐Air Force 1,川普坐着去了海湖山庄。此后拜登也永远没有用到那两个AF1 AF2(尾号28000/29000), 这两家飞机目前停在Tampa,拜和Kamala此后一直用两架军机涂装的AF1 AF2。

川普在1月20日12点在安德鲁机场完成了就职仪式,然后AF1飞海湖山庄。
x*com/rattletrap1776/status/1666732515560751110
注意21响礼炮,AF1, 正午12点就职,是有很严格规定的,正午是宪法规定的哦

拜坐另一架飞机到DC,进入DC时车队沿途受到国民警卫队列队背对着的待遇,然后在11:47分宣誓,注意时间不对哦。就职后去阿灵顿公墓,受到20响军礼炮待遇,媒体放到这儿时,解释说有一发礼炮哑了...注意,军队背对着统帅,然后21响变20响,这是随意的么?22条军规,是无法这么对统帅的,除非高层安排...就职仪式是国家大典,哑了?

x*com/rattletrap1776/status/1668033597809340416

注意就职仪式后,拜登没能进入白宫,守门的Marine礼貌而坚决拒绝...我不知道过了多久他才进入,有很长一段时间是在Georgia的亚特兰大的White house studio,就是拍摄用的白宫上班...

x*com/l42022425/status/1808659431468441931

真正的椭圆办公室是2楼哦
--------------------------------------------------------
你们支持的Joe, 并非原来那个美国副总统Joe

这个Joe有时需要坐Taxi:
x*com/TheTrailerDan/status/1838368115534479549

下班自己走了:
x*com/NotOpCue/status/1631909793832091648

原来那个Joe根本不知道他曾当选总统,几年来完全是新Joe的事:
x*com/NotOpCue/status/1633226062283911170
x*com/NotOpCue/status/1821975083612844113

签名也不一样:
x*com/NotOpCue/status/1664012131388338177

大家每天看到的是演员在DS录影棚的‘总统’大戏:
x*com/PillarsStrategy/status/1836486117094199541/video/2

川普COG计划的核心目的是,暴露并清理DS。注意看这4年暴露多少司法系统,边境控制,军队内部(阿富汗撤退),FEMA,投票系统的隐藏的DS分支?

至今日,民众对上层被DS把控已经清楚了

2024年选举,还需要再暴露和清理一次

此后,川普将可以授权军方大规模逮捕和清理祸害美国的部分,4年里暴露的,和这次选举暴露的

最终,美国选举将是区块链+智能合约的形式,所有票数实时汇总在所有账本上,无法作弊,每个投票者可以实时查询自己的投票。

所以这次作弊是预期的,被监控的,有重大作用的。
ca_lowhand 发表评论于
要说怎么大选作弊小扎是最清楚了,但这家伙这次学聪明了早早投降
回家路 发表评论于
我家都选川普
TXZS 发表评论于
嗯,那美国人民就有福了
骂人不好 发表评论于
哈哈哈,风水轮流转,轮到民主党“担心”作弊了?

看来共和党心心念念的查ID,原来为的是大规模舞弊。这脑回路可够清奇的。

加州查ID违法原来是防止共和党大规模舞弊,真是奇招。你说这共和党的支持者到底是拿着自己的ID怎么作弊的?黑川的奇人们能不能给个解释?
猫二 发表评论于
留言里怎么这么乱七八糟的
Panda-2020 发表评论于
DJT 股票已经大幅上涨了
令胡冲 发表评论于



这是哄川普玩呢。当年希拉里民调领先比这多。




京工人 发表评论于
只要共和党不大规模作弊,川普就不可能赢
相信事实 发表评论于
谁都可以预测,反正不需要事实。这就是赌博开盘前大家押注,反正是有赢的有输的,如果你没有投注,那么最后开盘结果就无所谓啦,大家一乐而已。

现在下注吧
拾麦客 发表评论于
很多川普支持者拒绝回答民调问答,所以所谓民调就是个民主党的剃头挑子,谁信谁死。
Run4rest 发表评论于
贺锦丽有什么成就?开放边境、支持罪犯、油价物价暴涨、世界到处都是战乱、美国在阿富汗撤军损失13位士兵和大量的武器装备。贺三笑被安排成总统候选人本身就是最大的丑闻。
van1 发表评论于
川普躺赢了,川粉可以歇歇了!
紐約雙子 发表评论于
川普曲线,一定作弊啦!这是按川卫兵思路得出的必然结果。
Bhistory 发表评论于
假选票,机器反转投票信息,曲线...大概率都会重现

无法影响结果,因为实际支持率悬殊,Trust the Lord!

还被许可的作弊,只是为了后续大面积的清理!the evil machine will be dismantled thoroughly, 川普警告过几次作弊会进监狱,这是计划中的标准动作

DS后续会有疯狂的动作,It is dying...
dream_pillow 发表评论于
按照老川的逻辑,如果胜选,必然作弊。
Bhistory 发表评论于
(Part 3) What does it take for My children to believe those words I’ve written in the Bible. Change is coming. Politically yes. But great changes are coming spiritually in the Body of Christ. So prepare to receive the glory I’m about to pour out. Evil must be expelled from the churches and darkness distinguished from My children – to receive the amounts of glory I’m about ready to release.

So My children prepare your hearts and minds in My Word praising Me. Don’t limit what I want to do for you and what I want to do through you in this unprecedented time saith the Lord of Hosts.

Amateur…this word will be in your news for a shocking political reason.
Armageddon…this word will be used in a very unusual way.
Apocalyptic…this word will be in your news for a significant reason.

My children, your enemies will continue to use scare tactics in this time to try to gain control over your minds. REBUKE THE FEAR AND DENY THEIR POWER OVER YOU AND YOUR NATIONS.

China is about to make a move against your election again, they will soon regret. What will strike their nation with judgment can only be explained with words biblical event and unprecedented judgment. This is coming for the ones trying to destroy My nations.

What Boeing has been hiding will soon come out in the open and I will show you how your Establishment is involved in these sinister plots against you.

Chariot…this company will be in your news for a shocking reason. Things are imploding your enemies can no longer hide.

My children, prepare for the tensions that are growing against your enemies to cause an implosion they will never recover from. Their time is coming to an end in unprecedented way says the Lord Your Redeemer.
华伦久费 发表评论于
哈里斯在内华达怎么可能有戏?
Bhistory 发表评论于
(Part 2) Your enemies are even questioning and contemplating about starting WW3 right now – to have a strike so devastating to this nation, not caring on how many lives are lost because they’d be safe in their positions and could stay in control. They would determine how much foreign enemies are allowed to do against you, even though there’s a good chance they may give the enemy too much leeway and it might go south quickly if not controlled.

My children, this is a time - is very dangerous, a time to be when your enemies are realizing they are defeated and when they still choose not to wave that white flag. AS your enemies are losing strength and unity, My children I am giving you My strength and you will grow in unity despite the great divide your enemies have caused in My church. Great vindication is coming for My chosen voices that were being attacked and threatened to be silenced by the religious leaders. Those leaders will have a great wake-up call when they see that the truth that cannot be denied. Their doctrines and religious lies will not stand and they’ll be judged for choking My Word out of congregations with legalism and their opinions.

A shaking is coming to those behind the pulpits who try to silence My prophets, who try to silence them on giving My Words and preparing the hearts of My people for battle. The world is and against this evil.

Those who have been prideful and arrogant will themselves take a fall from where they have been. Pride comes before a fall and it also says in My Word touch not My anointed and do My prophets no harm. But some have chosen to ignore those words and went after those I have chosen to [try???] and disgrace them with repeated persecution and lies.

Judgment is coming to those against My remnant. They had time to repent and chose to ignore those warnings. So My children you will see church leaders fall in disgrace. You have seen the unprecedented amount of CEO’s and Presidents of companies leave their positions and now you will see many in the churches do the same.

A cleansing of My church has begun because this is a time of My glory being poured out and in order for the world to receive this amount, I must have the people in positions that are willing to receive it and believe - I am still capable of doing such moves of the Spirit, like I have spoken of in My Word. There are some in churches teaching that this has passed away and I no longer do these things. That is a lie because I am still the same yesterday, today and forever.
Bhistory 发表评论于
rumble. com/v5jnov9-live-with-julie.html?start=636

TENSIONS ARE GROWING IN THE ENEMY’S CAMP

[Word heard – October 18, 2024]

My children, tensions are growing in the enemy’s camp. Some will break under the pressure seeing they are losing and every day appears to be worse than the day before. Your enemies in Washington are petrified at what they are seeing with My David. He’s growing in strength and more people are turning to him. They know the deals he has made with some of their own party trying to save themselves. But there are deals on the table given to My David, even the Establishment doesn’t know about. Your leaders are unaware people have turned on them when it looks like in all in Washington they are still on your side.

Sabotage is coming from your leaders in Washington against their own. I told you their puppets are failing to a degree they never thought possible. This is when your enemies will appear more dangerous with their actions they try against you and against this nation. Confusion is growing in Washington on what to do to stop this election because they realize they can’t cheat enough to win. Desperation is growing to a whole new level. AS their desperation continues to grow, so will their mistakes and mishaps along with their mouths being their worst enemies.

Your leaders in Washington are about to do something they said they would never do. But this mighty be their only option. They are screaming to one another, IF HE GETS IN WE ARE DONE FOR. There is no option for him to get back into the White House. We will all be arrested or worse.

What does he have? How can we find out? And are there other options to take him out and be successful?

My children your enemies are having these conversations. They don’t know what to do with My David. The Establishment is about to let their wolves out of their cages to come after this nation. They want total anarchy and unrest. They wanted Civil War, anything where they can take emergency measures and proclaim Martial Law. They need more control so you can have less freedoms and be no threat to their machine from continuing to run this nation.
低智商猪头 发表评论于
什么动机,催票呗,很多黑人吃福利却不积极参与投票,如若哈里斯落选,他们的福利将会缩水。
低智商猪头 发表评论于
东西方预言都是哈里斯当选,两个白头翁一死一落空帝国残破日女王坐当中。哈哈
量子纠结 发表评论于
现在民主党唯一的希望就是像2016年那样,民调出了大误差,左媒民调集体不知道出于什么动机要低估唱衰哈哈。
秒秒 发表评论于
那什么预言。什么卡通人物一个女总统产生那些信息怎么理解啊。
yhr 发表评论于
就怕深夜曲线再现。