Your underlying assumption is polling samples are accurate. However, polling samples can be biased, for example, those republicans who don't want to vote for T but for H don't want to talk to pollsters, while MAMGs are more willing to answer polls. Another example is the under-estimate of new registered voters (most of them are young) who are leaning toward Harris. In swinging states with a very fine margin, those biases can make polls incorrect.
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the polling is better than your assumption. Polling is based on sampling.
我是大海 发表评论于 2024-11-04 08:41:29
Voted last week. Go Harris!
xiaoxiao雨 发表评论于 2024-11-04 07:44:37
the polling is better than your assumption. Polling is based on sampling.
