用期权交易放大股票交易
最近论坛里总有人说：option trading 就是豪赌。
那么我这篇文章想告诉你的是option trading可以是豪赌，也可以像一般的stock trading一样的风险。
你没有做过或你不懂就不要乱下结论。
先来看一支股票，也算是马前跑，也是我下周可能要做的股票（星期一看情况而定）。
Buying Opportunity in Copper：
铜已经订了很久了。铜和贵金属不一样，它是消耗品，经济快速增长的时候它的需求量会大增。
commercial hedgers常常用铜期货position来record市场是否是bullish.
从去年，铜期货一直是下跌趋势，今年一月29日好像已经见底，到现在已经有了11%的增幅，现在是一个很好的买入点。
材料类股一直是S＆P 500指数今年迄今为止最强劲的section.
Now, with copper prices up about 11% since the end of January, the buying opportunity I have been waiting for appears to have arrived.
One way for investors to participate in rising copper prices is via Freeport-McMoRan (NYSE: FCX) because of the miner's tight, stable positive correlation to copper prices since 1995.
投资铜矿企业比铜期货和ETF要稳，比较适合没有经验的投资者。
FCX rose above both its $20.75 50-day moving average (minor trend proxy) and $20.94 Dec. 16 benchmark low Jan.
The move through overhead resistance suggests that a significant bottom is in place at the late January lows and clears the way for a run to the next key level at $26.37, which is the stock's June 2013 low and 22% above last week's close.
上周收盘价是19.44，如果你的预期是26.37，那么你的获利将是35.6%.
1〉 1> 星期一设买单：19.8（或更低）；
2〉 2> 设止赢单：26 （或不设，这只是你的预期）；获利~31% （预期3个月）；
3〉 3> 设止损单：17 （一定要止损）；损失：~14%。
Amplify Your Gains: Generate 138% From a 22% Stock Move
Trading options is the best way to increase leverage and percentage returns while preserving capital and reducing risk, if done correctly.
再来看看option 怎么做：
经过分析买：FCX May 19 Calls for $3.10 or less to leverage a potential bullish move in FCX shares.
If FCX hits price target of $26.37, the call options will be worth at least $7.37 ($26.37 target minus $19 strike price). Once you enter the trade, place a good 'til cancelled (GTC) order to sell your calls at that price.
一般的做法是这样的：
1〉 Buy FCX May 19 Calls at $3.10 or less；
2〉 设止损单：stop-loss at $1.8， 损失：41.9%；
3〉 设止赢单（或不设）：Set price target at $7.37 for a potential 138% gain in 75 days；
看起来option trading的风险要大（当然赢利也大）。
但你再来看看一些具体数据：
假如你买1000股@19.8, 用资：$19,800; 如果赢利是：$6,138; 如果损失是：$2,772;
假设你做option (with similar lost):
买21个contract May 19 Calls at $3.10: 用资：$6,510;
如果损失：是~$2,728; 如果赢利将是：$8,984。
接下来自己比较吧。
好了,看完后你还认为option trading 是豪赌吗？（当然它可以做成豪赌），它可以像一般的stock trading一样的风险！
最后的最后：不是建议你投资FCX，这只是一个例子。你可以用一只你熟悉的股做实验，比如就买一个合约试试,花不了多少钱。
如果你跟了，风险自己承担，切忌切忌。
03/08/2015
