0，先说结论。买。至少明天做空获利空间不大。
1，大盘主要指标。
| INDEX |
VALUE |
LONG/ SHORT |
| MARKET (BULL /BEAR) |
BULL MARKET |
LONG |
| MARKET STENGTH |
-100.00% |
SHORT |
| DAILY TREND |
TREND DOWN |
SHORT |
| WEEKLY TREND |
TREND DOWN |
SHORT |
| CONFIDENCE INDEX |
36% |
SHORT |
| OVER B /S INDEX |
0 |
|
| CRASH INDEX |
5.00% |
|
| SPIKE INDEX |
91.88% |
LONG |
| BOTTOM INDEX |
60.00% |
LONG |
指标解读：牛市，但是发生了周线，甚至月线基别的回调。
2，大盘及主要板块趋势图解。
| |
TREND |
POTENTIAL (UP) |
POTENTIAL (DOWN) |
SUPPORT |
RESISTENCE |
OVER BOUGHT/SOLD AND TRAP |
BUY |
EXIT |
CUT |
| SPY |
TREND DOWN |
1.08% |
3.83% |
259.85 |
273.13 |
|
267.05 |
280.40 |
265.5 |
| DIA |
TREND DOWN |
1.00% |
3.93% |
241.05 |
253.42 |
|
248.30 |
260.72 |
246.8 |
| QQQ |
TREND DOWN |
3.14% |
3.09% |
160.09 |
170.39 |
|
162.32 |
170.44 |
160.9 |
| IWM |
TREND DOWN |
1.91% |
3.18% |
144.70 |
152.30 |
|
147.22 |
154.58 |
146.0 |
| MDY |
TREND DOWN |
1.02% |
4.08% |
321.76 |
338.86 |
|
331.29 |
347.85 |
329.1 |
| XLY |
RANGE |
1.55% |
5.57% |
100.99 |
108.61 |
|
105.36 |
110.63 |
104.4 |
| XLP |
TREND UP |
0.58% |
1.44% |
55.20 |
56.34 |
|
55.99 |
58.79 |
55.7 |
| XLE |
TREND DOWN |
3.93% |
1.62% |
64.37 |
68.00 |
|
63.20 |
66.44 |
62.4 |
| XLF |
TREND DOWN |
1.29% |
5.12% |
25.02 |
26.71 |
BULL TRAP |
26.09 |
27.39 |
25.9 |
| XLV |
RANGE |
0.87% |
3.83% |
86.86 |
91.10 |
BULL TRAP |
89.51 |
93.98 |
89.0 |
| XLI |
RANGE |
1.05% |
5.74% |
66.99 |
71.82 |
|
69.56 |
73.04 |
69.1 |
| XLB |
TREND DOWN |
1.03% |
1.26% |
53.27 |
54.50 |
BULL TRAP |
53.01 |
55.66 |
52.6 |
| XLU |
TREND UP |
1.82% |
0.44% |
54.26 |
55.49 |
|
54.26 |
56.97 |
53.9 |
| IBB |
TREND DOWN |
5.39% |
1.24% |
100.66 |
107.42 |
|
100.80 |
105.84 |
99.7 |
| IYR |
TREND UP |
1.07% |
0.94% |
79.44 |
81.05 |
|
80.10 |
84.10 |
79.7 |
| XHB |
TREND DOWN |
1.72% |
0.35% |
34.15 |
34.86 |
BULL TRAP |
33.55 |
35.23 |
33.2 |
| SMH |
TREND DOWN |
1.45% |
6.48% |
86.95 |
94.32 |
|
93.98 |
98.68 |
92.1 |
| FNG |
TREND DOWN |
6.06% |
1.41% |
17.37 |
18.69 |
|
17.59 |
18.54 |
17.4 |
| IYT |
TREND UP |
2.62% |
0.76% |
187.03 |
193.40 |
|
187.44 |
196.81 |
185.9 |
| ITA |
RANGE |
2.01% |
5.58% |
182.35 |
197.01 |
|
189.47 |
198.94 |
188.0 |
3，如何买。昨天说过：顺势交易如戏水，震荡交易如玩火，逆势交易如触电。因此，买入应该买趋势向上的板块。如下图：
| |
TREND |
POTENTIAL (UP) |
POTENTIAL (DOWN) |
SUPPORT |
RESISTENCE |
OVER BOUGHT/SOLD AND TRAP |
BUY |
EXIT |
CUT |
| XLP |
TREND UP |
0.58% |
1.44% |
55.20 |
56.34 |
|
55.99 |
58.79 |
55.7 |
| XLU |
TREND UP |
1.82% |
0.44% |
54.26 |
55.49 |
|
54.26 |
56.97 |
53.9 |
| IYR |
TREND UP |
1.07% |
0.94% |
79.44 |
81.05 |
|
80.10 |
84.10 |
79.7 |
| IYT |
TREND UP |
2.62% |
0.76% |
187.03 |
193.40 |
|
187.44 |
196.81 |
185.9 |
4，买入之后继续暴跌怎么办？首先，顺势交易再加上恰当的介入时机，赢率应该在90%以上。其次，万一那10%较小的概率发生了怎么办？很简单，每个买入点之后都有一个较为紧凑的止损点。这就是顺应趋势，截断亏损，让利润奔跑的精髓。
