凭感觉QQQ本次回调的时间应该与二月相当， 空间要小一点。八月底也许有入场的机会。
沧海真诚分享，遵循FINRA规定，不作任何投资建议，不承担任何投资责任，敬希见谅。
QQQ本次回调的时间与空间
牛经沧海 发表评论于
Security Details
QQQ Aug 18 '23 $370 Call
Transaction Status Order Description Date & Time Quantity Price Executed Commission/Fee
Order Placed Buy Open 30 QQQ Aug 18 '23 $370 Call Limit GT 60 08/09/23 09:07:42 PM EDT 30 — 15.333
Executed Buy Open 8 QQQ Aug 18 '23 $370 Call Limit GT 60 08/11/23 09:30:00 AM EDT 8 2.46 4.0888
Executed Buy Open 13 QQQ Aug 18 '23 $370 Call Limit GT 60 08/11/23 09:30:00 AM EDT 13 2.46 6.6443
Executed Buy Open 8 QQQ Aug 18 '23 $370 Call Limit GT 60 08/11/23 09:30:00 AM EDT 8 2.46 4.0888
Executed Buy Open 1 QQQ Aug 18 '23 $370 Call Limit GT 60 08/11/23 09:30:00 AM EDT 1 2.46 0.5111
06/27/23 693 Option
Sell Close
20
QQQ Jun 30 '23 $360 Call
Limit GT 60 7.00
7.00
Executed Gains/Losses
06/26/23 692 Option
Buy Open
20/AON
QQQ Jun 30 '23 $360 Call
Limit GT 60 2.25
2.25
Executed Portfolios
05/11/23 691 Bond
Buy
100,000
3130AVZ62
Firm Day 100.00
100.00
Executed Portfolios
02/15/23 690 Bond
Buy
100,000
91282CBA8
Firm Day 96.1210
96.1210
Executed Portfolios
QQQ Aug 18 '23 $370 Call
Transaction Status Order Description Date & Time Quantity Price Executed Commission/Fee
Order Placed Buy Open 30 QQQ Aug 18 '23 $370 Call Limit GT 60 08/09/23 09:07:42 PM EDT 30 — 15.333
Executed Buy Open 8 QQQ Aug 18 '23 $370 Call Limit GT 60 08/11/23 09:30:00 AM EDT 8 2.46 4.0888
Executed Buy Open 13 QQQ Aug 18 '23 $370 Call Limit GT 60 08/11/23 09:30:00 AM EDT 13 2.46 6.6443
Executed Buy Open 8 QQQ Aug 18 '23 $370 Call Limit GT 60 08/11/23 09:30:00 AM EDT 8 2.46 4.0888
Executed Buy Open 1 QQQ Aug 18 '23 $370 Call Limit GT 60 08/11/23 09:30:00 AM EDT 1 2.46 0.5111
06/27/23 693 Option
Sell Close
20
QQQ Jun 30 '23 $360 Call
Limit GT 60 7.00
7.00
Executed Gains/Losses
06/26/23 692 Option
Buy Open
20/AON
QQQ Jun 30 '23 $360 Call
Limit GT 60 2.25
2.25
Executed Portfolios
05/11/23 691 Bond
Buy
100,000
3130AVZ62
Firm Day 100.00
100.00
Executed Portfolios
02/15/23 690 Bond
Buy
100,000
91282CBA8
Firm Day 96.1210
96.1210
Executed Portfolios
牛经沧海 发表评论于
July-August pullback scenarios:
Ideal case 50% probability: end by August 24-25. Drawdowns SPY 4-5%; QQQ 6-7%; FNGS 9-10%.
Bad case 20% probability: end by September 14-15. Drawdowns SPY 6-7%; QQQ 8-10%; FNGS 12-13%.
Worse case 15% probability: end by October 12-13. Drawdowns SPY 8-10%; QQQ 14-15%; FNGS 16-18%.
Worst case 5% probability: sink into bear market again.
Ideal case 50% probability: end by August 24-25. Drawdowns SPY 4-5%; QQQ 6-7%; FNGS 9-10%.
Bad case 20% probability: end by September 14-15. Drawdowns SPY 6-7%; QQQ 8-10%; FNGS 12-13%.
Worse case 15% probability: end by October 12-13. Drawdowns SPY 8-10%; QQQ 14-15%; FNGS 16-18%.
Worst case 5% probability: sink into bear market again.
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