《应对不断变化的世界秩序的原则：国家成败之道》
雷·达利欧（Ray Dalio） 2021年11月30日
“这本书引人入胜……很少有巨著能像达利欧先生那样，如此连贯地描绘如此宏大的经济史。或许更不同寻常的是，达利欧先生成功地从这段历史中找到了可以应用于理解当今的指标。”——安德鲁·罗斯·索尔金，《纽约时报》
《应对不断变化的世界秩序的原则》出自传奇投资者雷·达利欧之手，他是《纽约时报》畅销书排行榜冠军《原则》的作者，半个世纪以来一直致力于研究全球经济和市场。本书考察了历史上最动荡的经济和政治时期，揭示了未来可能与我们一生所经历的截然不同的原因，并提供了如何有效应对这些时期的实用建议。
几年前，雷·达利欧注意到了他从未遇到过的政治和经济状况的交汇。这些因素包括巨额债务和零利率或接近零利率，导致世界三大储备货币大量印钞；由于100多年来最大的财富、政治和价值观差距，各国内部，尤其是美国，发生了巨大的政治和社会冲突；以及世界强国（中国）的崛起，挑战现有的世界强国（美国）和世界秩序。上一次发生这种汇合是在1930年至1945年之间。这一认识促使达利欧开始寻找过去500年来所有重大财富和权力变化背后的重复模式和因果关系。
在达利欧“原则”系列的这本精彩且及时的著作中，达利欧带领读者一起研究包括荷兰、英国和美国在内的主要帝国，并透视历史上驱动世界所有主要国家成败的“大周期”。他揭示了这些转变背后永恒而普遍的力量，并利用它们展望未来，为未来的定位提供实用的原则。
Principles for Dealing with the Changing World Order: Why Nations Succeed and Fail
Nov. 30 2021 by Ray Dalio (Author)
“A provocative read...There are few tomes that coherently map such broad economic histories as well as Mr. Dalio’s. Perhaps more unusually, Mr. Dalio has managed to identify metrics from that history that can be applied to understand today.” —Andrew Ross Sorkin, The New York Times
From legendary investor Ray Dalio, author of the #1 New York Times bestseller Principles, who has spent half a century studying global economies and markets, Principles for Dealing with the Changing World Order examines history’s most turbulent economic and political periods to reveal why the times ahead will likely be radically different from those we’ve experienced in our lifetimes—and to offer practical advice on how to navigate them well.
A few years ago, Ray Dalio noticed a confluence of political and economic conditions he hadn’t encountered before. They included huge debts and zero or near-zero interest rates that led to massive printing of money in the world’s three major reserve currencies; big political and social conflicts within countries, especially the US, due to the largest wealth, political, and values disparities in more than 100 years; and the rising of a world power (China) to challenge the existing world power (US) and the existing world order. The last time that this confluence occurred was between 1930 and 1945. This realization sent Dalio on a search for the repeating patterns and cause/effect relationships underlying all major changes in wealth and power over the last 500 years.
In this remarkable and timely addition to his Principles series, Dalio brings readers along for his study of the major empires—including the Dutch, the British, and the American—putting into perspective the “Big Cycle” that has driven the successes and failures of all the world’s major countries throughout history. He reveals the timeless and universal forces behind these shifts and uses them to look into the future, offering practical principles for positioning oneself for what’s ahead.
