S&P 500 到顶不远了 (图)

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周末中国宣布汇率灵活的政策,本来不是什么新闻,但让 MM 有意炒得火热,有趁机出货的嫌疑。 中国股市上涨是因为憋得太久,人们会抓住任何稻草,炒做股市以脱身,可以理解,但会很短命。 美国股市自 1040 反弹,今天刚好碰到 Fibonacci 50% 回调线 113.4 ( SPY) 上面一点点就是 50 天均线。 标准的反弹,就是止于 50 天均线。(图中蓝线) 再上面是 Fibonacci 61.8% 回调线在 115.5 也是今年一月的顶部。SPY 向上阻力重重,50 天均线的方向也是朝下的,说明股市的走势还没反转,只是反弹。 今天的好消息,仍不能冲破 FIBO 50% 回调线,连 50 天均线都没到就掉头了,是很不妙的信息。 而过去两周都是上涨的量比不过下跌的量,说明没有大的买家入市。 由此看来,S&P 反弹可能就要终止了。 下跌近期有两条线: 1) 110.5 SPY 200 天均线,2) 108.5 Fibo 23.6% 回调线。 JM2C 说着玩,别当真。






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