历史是一场无休止的争论。但时间越长,细节越模糊,大势约清楚。

打印 被阅读次数

置顶的这篇分析对越自卫反击战的文章,很有深度。
七十年代,美国因为越战元气大伤,中国因为文革内乱国力衰弱人心涣散,苏联糊里糊涂地就有了冷战赢家的模样。文革结束后,摆在邓小平面前的问题,一是怎样消除北方边境上的巨大军事威胁,当时国力不但不允许中国搞军备竞赛,相反需要裁军;二是怎样收拾民心,搞一次对文革报复式的大清洗,不是小平的风格,也会继续对生产力的破坏;三是怎样恢复发展生产力。
邓的选择是用牛刀杀鸡立威,完成毛周开始的联美抗苏的布局。
从之后的大局看,邓通过打击越南给北极熊放血,也通过摸熊屁股破坏了熊的霸主形象,又赶上苏联出昏招进入阿富汗这个帝国坟场,前后大约十年,苏联竟崩盘,中国北方的军事威胁,基本解除。而邓通过战争,做出了与原教旨共产主义决裂的姿态,得到了美欧的信任,使中国搭上了美国上世纪末的经济快车。话说美欧生吃了日本和苏联,不是一个富字能够形容的,有阵子根本不在乎钱,更不在乎钱让谁赚,中国也没有客气。至于收拾民心,相信从那个时代过来的人,都会记得铺天盖地的英模报告会,可以说,全国因文革积累的邪火出在越南身上了。当然,越南从宇宙第三的军事强国,变成一只和平鸽,不过是一个副产品。

登录后才可评论.
Logo

Looks like your ad blocker is on.

×

We rely on ads to keep creating quality content for you to enjoy for free.

Please support our site by disabling your ad blocker.

Continue without supporting us

Choose your Ad Blocker

  • Adblock Plus
  • Adblock
  • Adguard
  • Ad Remover
  • Brave
  • Ghostery
  • uBlock Origin
  • uBlock
  • UltraBlock
  • Other
  1. In the extension bar, click the AdBlock Plus icon
  2. Click the large blue toggle for this website
  3. Click refresh
  1. In the extension bar, click the AdBlock icon
  2. Under "Pause on this site" click "Always"
  1. In the extension bar, click on the Adguard icon
  2. Click on the large green toggle for this website
  1. In the extension bar, click on the Ad Remover icon
  2. Click "Disable on This Website"
  1. In the extension bar, click on the orange lion icon
  2. Click the toggle on the top right, shifting from "Up" to "Down"
  1. In the extension bar, click on the Ghostery icon
  2. Click the "Anti-Tracking" shield so it says "Off"
  3. Click the "Ad-Blocking" stop sign so it says "Off"
  4. Refresh the page
  1. In the extension bar, click on the uBlock Origin icon
  2. Click on the big, blue power button
  3. Refresh the page
  1. In the extension bar, click on the uBlock icon
  2. Click on the big, blue power button
  3. Refresh the page
  1. In the extension bar, click on the UltraBlock icon
  2. Check the "Disable UltraBlock" checkbox
  1. Please disable your Ad Blocker
  2. Disable any DNS blocking tools such as AdGuardDNS or NextDNS

If the prompt is still appearing, please disable any tools or services you are using that block internet ads (e.g. DNS Servers).

Logo