周三盘前:今夜有暴风雪

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Image result for 今夜有暴风雪美国东北部遭遇风雪,这是今年第四回。少爷办公室外的树林银装素裹,枝头连水带冰结成了树挂。感觉美国这边娇气,一场普通的雪,全国上下如临大敌。我们小时侯的大雪没膝,一般的雪没脚踝,也没当回事。

今日联储会议结束,预计升息。市场关注今年将升息几次,是否考虑最近的数据和贸易战倾向而放缓升息步伐。过去两周国债利率是小强,无论怎样温和的数据,十年利率都不肯下去。今早盘前2.9%,看联储决议后它的反应。如果联储口气温和,利率还不肯下跌,那破三的决心彰显,股市将承受压力。

昨天股市反弹乏力,DOW涨不少,其它跟进不利。NAS基本保住周一的跌幅,周线往下的缺口没有补。FB反弹,说它成底尚早,后市仍然看淡FANG。盘前VIX跌到16.5,周一它曾经上冲到22,因此昨天和今天VIX得以喘息、修复上涨过急。联储决议出来后,如果股市涨,VIX下看14,上上周五的低点;如果股市波动,昨天和今早VIX的修复将成为再次上冲的起跳板,后面有望破掉22。

何曾几时,今夜有暴风雪,陈道明朝气勃发,梁晓声笔下的知青为回城挣扎。何曾几时,今夜有暴风雪,少爷拉一群小屁孩玩雪淘气。何曾几时,今夜有暴风雪,昔日的有志学子有车有房,洋版本的三十亩地一头牛,盯着期指算算术。雪过天晴,春光放暖。雪还是雪,春依然春,只是人心沧桑。人面不知何处去,桃花依旧笑春风。

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