option case 1.

对不起,才有空回帖.

刚才没说全, 谢谢putwriter 的提醒. ($20 spread 是深了点,好处是当涨过100时还有退路.)

如果 BIDU 涨过半$100 怎么办? 我感觉可能性较小. 不过也有办法:

1. 为了多一点保险系数, 你可以卖Dec 105 call or Dec 110 call instead of Dec 100 call. 方法一样, 只是得到的credit 要少的多.
e.g. 当百度$92时 卖 Dec 105 call 大盖是$1.5, 卖Dec 110 cal 只有$0.7 ( Need to trade off between risk and return)

2. 在卖出Dec 100 call 后, 如果BIDU 继续猛涨, 你可以再把call 买回来,等机会再卖.如果卖的时机好,是可以避免大涨的风险的. 卖call 的好处是 时间成了你的朋友,希望option 早点过期才好.

3. 在卖出 BIDU Dec 100 call 后, 你可以买入10个或 20 个 BIDU Nov 90 call (用你卖出 Dec 100 call finance Nov 90 call) 以今天的价来说
Nov 90 call cost $1.85, Dec 100 call is about $1.3

one contract net cost: 1.85-1.3 = $0.55
这样BIDU 近期大涨, 你还可以获利. 不过Nov cal position 不要到OE week. 可以close position before OE week. and open again after OE.

其他选择:

4. 如果你真的那么看好百度, 就什么都别干, 等它涨多一点再close Dec 120 cal position, 可减少点损失.

5. Close BIDU Dec 120 cal position and forget option trading.

Take care.


回复: OPTION求教 -安祺蓝 -- 帮你找回丢的钱

来源: wavePlayer 于 06-11-06 17:23:48 [档案] [博客] [旧帖] [转至博客] [给我悄悄话]


看上去挺可怜的,都是股票害的.看来你几乎丢了所有买BIDU Dec 120 call 的钱. 给你出个主意,也许有用.
(原帖太深了,只好加新贴回复了,见谅)

Option trading is the game of high risk and high return. You should learn more about it and get fimiliar w/t it before you do any trade. Here is a very useful link which you can get basic concept of option trading, option pricing and option stratigy.

http://www.cboe.com/LearnCenter/Tutorials.aspx

"Options as a stratecgic investment" by Lawrence G. McMillan is a very good book to read for concept of option trading.

我的建议是 利用你的BIDU Dec 120 call (which almost worthless) 做看跌差价交易. (Bear Call Spread) Here is how:

1. 如果你的帐号不能做Option Spread, 马上去你的Broker firm 申请升级做Option Spread Trading. 可以在网上申请,一般要回答几个问题,证明你懂Spread trading 是怎么会事. 一般一到两天就可批准. 你的帐号上,要有一定的保证金以便交易.

2. BIDU 是猪市, 很难连续窜高. 上次的高点是$100. 我想在一个月里破新高很难. 近点阻力是$90. 结合牛气的大势, BIDU 上$90 指日可待的事. 但是否呆的住是另一回事. 所以操作如下:

1) 等 BIDU > $90 且 长不动的时候, Sale BIDU Dec 100 call @ 1.8
(estimate price as the current delta) 买价当然越高越好. You can get 1.8x2000 = $3600 credit deposit on you account.

2) Wait until Dec 15, when both Dec 100 call and Dec 120 call expired worthlessly, you can take $3600 as your profit.

这样做,你要有一笔保证金在你的帐户上. even you never use them.

Take care.


原帖来源: 安祺蓝 于 06-11-06 10:55:39

我买了20个BIDU DEC 120 的CALL 在1.3, 现在只有5分钱,血本无归。
我想再买20个BIDU DEC 105 的CALL在0.7,如果BAIDU到十二月涨到一百一十以上,我的CALL能不能到3.5? 这样我是不是就可以赢回以前的损失?
谢谢你们的指教?
另外有个问题,买的CALL 为什么有OPEN和CLOSE,有什么区别吗?谢谢!!!
如果这次再输了,我就发誓一辈子不玩OPTION,请大家监督!


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