Beazer 单独房REIT分析

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据WSJ,建房公司Beazer和KKR Investment联合推出了一个专做单独房出租的REIT. Beazer贡献价值20Million 的192套房子,KKR投65million. 他们的目标是买更多房,一旦房产总值达到150million, 就上市。


分析了一下,这REIT的成败实在是50/50。看来,我们老中又多了一个抢白菜房的竞争对手啦!


















































































































































































































































































































Conservative Version      
Beazer Home-Rental REIT Scenario 1 Scenario 2 Scenario 3
Portfolio - Number of Homes 192 500                1,000
Average Purchase Price Per Home    104,166.67       180,000.00        200,000.00
Total Market Value 20,000,001 90,000,000 200,000,000
   
Assumptions      
Rental Revenue Per Home Per Month $800 $800 $800
Maintain Costs Per Home Per Month 150 150 150
RE Tax Per Home Per Month 350 350 350
Marketing and G&A Per Month          60,000           120,000            150,000
   
Monthly P&L Scenario 1 Scenario 2 Scenario 3
Rental Revenue        153,600           400,000            800,000
Operating Costs          28,800             75,000            150,000
RE Tax          67,200           175,000            350,000
Marketing G&A          60,000           120,000            150,000
   
Monthly P&L           (2,400)             30,000            150,000
Annual P&L         (28,800)           360,000          1,800,000
   
Investment    20,000,001       90,000,000      200,000,000
   
ROI -0.14% 0.40% 0.90%
       
Good Economy Version      
Beazer Home-Rental REIT Scenario 1 Scenario 2 Scenario 3
Portfolio - Number of Homes 192 500                1,000
Average Purchase Price Per Home    104,166.67       180,000.00        200,000.00
Total Market Value 20,000,001 90,000,000 200,000,000
   
Assumptions      
Rental Revenue Per Home Per Month $1,000 $1,200 $1,400
Maintain Costs Per Home Per Month 150 150 150
RE Tax Per Home Per Month 350 350 350
Marketing and G&A Per Month          60,000           120,000            150,000
   
Monthly P&L Scenario 1 Scenario 2 Scenario 3
Rental Revenue        192,000           600,000          1,400,000
Operating Costs          28,800             75,000            150,000
RE Tax          67,200           175,000            350,000
Marketing G&A          60,000           120,000            150,000
   
Monthly P&L          36,000           230,000            750,000
Annual P&L        432,000         2,760,000          9,000,000
   
Investment    20,000,001       90,000,000      200,000,000
   
ROI 2.16% 3.07% 4.50%
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