怎么把原子弹扔出去?

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【致命游戏:美国发射原子弹程序详解】
 
你得是至少过了六十的人才可能领悟生活在一个热武器时代(核武器时代)是个什么样的感觉,也许是宣传,也许是真是,当时每时每日你莫不被提醒世界末日随时到临,本来好好的日子无时不被抹上一层阴影,活得真没劲。中国也有这种气氛,但也许是落后,也许是忙于斗争,大家有点应付不过来,没同一般的感受。击毁苏联后,老一辈的美国人除了心有余悸外,也为自己“奋力抗争”大肆兴兵动武,建成世界第一自杀武器系统感到自豪。
 
 
这“余悸”在(上世纪)50年代的经典电影《奇爱博士》(Dr. Strangelove or: How I Learned to Stop Worrying and Love the Bomb)
https://upload.wikimedia.org/wikipedia/zh/thumb/1/18/Drstrangelove1sheet-.jpg/800px-Drstrangelove1sheet-.jpg
 
体现的最形象。没多少人记得了,但至今还是经典,电影有个副标题,少见,也许符合当今时代的翻译是:“安啦,原子弹是我的最爱”。
 
今年大选之际,民主党克林顿(Hillary Clinton)阵营的一个论点是淳朴(Donald Trump)实在无法胜任三军总司令这一左右世界生杀大权的独一无二的位子,尤其是美国的原子弹(氢弹)足够把世界炸回到原始世界。美国一边拥有世界最大的核武器库之一,一边大肆宣扬“限制核武器”、“有责任的拥有核武器”,是维持世界老大的地位的手段之一,也就造就了庞大的军官产业和无计其数的“外交国防鹰派精英”,而克林顿是其佼佼者,值得信赖的领袖,这是为何美国两党外交国防鹰派精英压倒性地支持克林顿的原因,而克林顿也乐得提醒大家淳朴那“南韩日本拥核无关紧要“之言,也确实让人直摇头,核武器大国都黑,不过大家都来,不就乱了规矩?不论你站在那一边,这一后果有可能要了你的命,所以完全是没脑子的胡言。
 
 
这一点,美国上上下下都明白。皮尤民调其实很能说明问题,其实真正觉得淳朴胜任的共和党不到半数,但支持他的目前近九成,也就是说共和党明知他不胜任,但恨克林顿,还是要选他。
 
大环境下,了解美国发射原子弹的过程,倒变得有价值了。
 
新闻电影上大家唱看到美国总统无时无处不带一个"金码手提箱”(Gold Codes),有美军一个小官20小时跟着,即使出国访问你也能见到。有了它,总统随时能给三军发出发射远在但的命令。
 
 
A White House military aide carries a briefcase containing emergency codes.
 
美国目前的体制是一旦面临紧急情形,总统真的能下令发射原子弹,而且是“轻而易举”。
 
 
以前曾经在美国陆军核武器系统服役的一个经历过负责发射的士兵也深有同感:
 
 
《南华早报英文版》原子弹落到了你的城市是个啥滋味?What if it was your city?
https://www.scmp.com/sites/default/files/2015/08/11/atomicbombs.png
 
那多容易呢?基本上是一旦总统想通了,美国三军首脑们其实没话可说,有意见行,但必须执行。
 
《维基:美国战略指挥中心》National Command Authority
 
 
 
 
《彭博》的程序解还提到了一个有趣的事:在美国路基核武器发射程序了,一个导弹井有五个士兵共同控制,五人守在不同的地点,必须同时按下发射键。你得明白士兵的第一天职是服从命令听指挥,必须死服,不能想,不能讲“良知”,将“道德”,但是大家人心都是血肉做的,难免有人突然“受上帝感应”,也许有人突然发怵,不敢了。美国这个机制还有个致死点:五人里只要有两个键按下去,原子弹就升天。
 
这点,跟电影“安啦,原子弹是我的最爱”描述的一模一样:后来总统后悔,想召回核战略轰炸机,但军方老大告诉他:您当时签的指令是为了防止敌人从中破坏,飞机一旦上天概不接受新的命令,一定会把原子弹扔下去。
 
《彭博儿童教育图解》简单啦,原子弹就跟电子游戏一样
 
【第一步:总统决定】

The president considers a nuclear strike

The commander-in-chief’s power is clear: He or she has sole authority to use nuclear weapons.

 
【第二步:总参谋部受命】

The top brass is brought in

Before initiating military action, the president convenes a conference with military and civilian advisers in Washington and around the world to talk through options. In the White House, the call takes place in the Situation Room. If traveling, the president is patched in on a secure line. A key participant in the meeting: the Pentagon’s deputy director of operations, an officer in charge of the National Military Command Center, also known as the “war room.” This around-the-clock operations center is responsible for preparing and ultimately transmitting a launch order from the president. The head of all U.S. strategic nuclear forces at Strategic Command in Omaha would probably also be asked for a briefing on strike options.

[Time elapsed: less than one minute]

The consultation lasts as long as the president wishes, but if enemy missiles are heading toward the U.S. and the president must order a counterstrike, the consultation may last just 30 seconds. The tight time line raises the risk of launching hastily on a false warning.

{一分钟即可决定}
 
【第三步:总统下令】

The president decides to launch

Some advisers may try to change the president’s mind or resign in protest—but ultimately, the Pentagon must comply with the commander-in-chief’s order.

 
【第四步:国防部(五角大楼)认证】

The order is verified

The senior officer in the Pentagon war room must formally authenticate that the person ordering the strike is indeed the president. Thfe ffficer reads a “challenge code,” often two phonetic letters from the military alphabet, such as “Delta-Echo.” The president retrieves the “biscuit,” a laminated card the president or military aide carries at all times, and finds the matching response to the challenge code: “Charlie-Zulu,” for instance.

 
【第五步:发布三军】

The order goes out

The war room prepares the launch order, a message that contains the chosen war plan, time to launch, authentication codes and codes needed to unlock the missiles before firing them. The encoded and encrypted message is only about 150 characters long, about the length of a tweet. It is broadcast to each worldwide command and directly to launch crews.

[Time elapsed: two or three minutes]

The submarine and ICBM crews receive the message within seconds of the broadcast. Just a few minutes have passed since the initial conference call.

{两分钟即可决定}
 
【第六步:核打击部队受命】

Launch crews take over

Launch message in hand, the crews open locked safes to obtain sealed-authentication system (SAS) codes prepared by the National Security Agency and distributed throughout the military’s nuclear chain of command. They compare the SAS codes in the launch order with those in their safes.

If the missiles are launched from a submarine:

The captain, executive officer and two others authenticate the order. The launch message provides the combination to an on-board safe holding the “fire-control” key needed to deploy the missiles. Missiles are ready for launch about 15 minutes after receiving the order.

{核潜艇接到命令后15分钟即可发射}

If the missiles are launched from land:

Five launch crews in various underground centers control a squadron of 50 missiles. Each crew consists of two officers. The individual teams are spread miles apart. Each receives the orders, opens safes and compares their SAS codes to those sent by the war room. If they match, the crews enter the message’s war plan number into their launch computers to re-target missiles from their peacetime targets in the ocean to their new targets. Using additional codes in the message, the crews enter a few more keystrokes to unlock the missiles before turning launch keys retrieved from their safe. At the designated launch time, the five crews turn their keys simultaneously, sending five “votes” to the missiles.

Mutiny is unlikely

It takes just two “votes” to launch the missiles. So even if three two-officer ICBM crews refuse to carry out the order, it won’t stop the launch.

 
【第七步:世界末日】

Missiles are launched

About five minutes may elapse from the president’s decision until intercontinental ballistic missiles blast out of their silos, and about fifteen minutes until submarine missiles shoot out of their tubes. Once fired, the missiles and their warheads cannot be called back.

 
 

 

 

 

 
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