一，大盘与板块的趋势图解。
| |
TREND |
POTENTIAL (UP) |
POTENTIAL (DOWN) |
SUPPORT |
RESISTENCE |
TOP/ BOTTOM AND TRAP |
BUY |
EXIT |
CUT |
| SPY |
RANGE |
0.80% |
4.49% |
259.85 |
274.23 |
BULL TRAP |
268.48 |
281.90 |
267.1 |
| QQQ |
TREND DOWN |
2.38% |
3.83% |
160.09 |
170.43 |
|
163.11 |
171.26 |
161.8 |
| DIA |
RANGE |
0.75% |
0.79% |
251.05 |
254.97 |
BULL TRAP |
250.13 |
262.64 |
248.7 |
| IWM |
TREND DOWN |
1.43% |
3.89% |
144.70 |
152.71 |
|
148.18 |
155.59 |
147.2 |
| MDY |
TREND DOWN |
0.88% |
4.66% |
321.76 |
340.45 |
BULL TRAP |
332.13 |
348.74 |
330.2 |
| XLY |
RANGE |
0.92% |
0.54% |
107.18 |
108.75 |
BULL TRAP |
105.69 |
110.98 |
104.9 |
| XLP |
TREND UP |
1.08% |
0.82% |
55.93 |
57.00 |
|
56.30 |
59.12 |
56.0 |
| XLE |
TREND DOWN |
3.94% |
1.79% |
64.37 |
68.12 |
|
64.97 |
68.22 |
64.3 |
| XLF |
RANGE |
2.31% |
0.63% |
26.56 |
27.35 |
|
26.62 |
27.95 |
26.4 |
| XLV |
TREND UP |
1.34% |
0.28% |
90.80 |
92.27 |
|
90.53 |
95.06 |
90.0 |
| XLI |
RANGE |
0.91% |
6.06% |
66.99 |
71.96 |
BULL TRAP |
69.81 |
73.30 |
69.3 |
| XLB |
RANGE |
1.21% |
1.33% |
53.29 |
54.66 |
|
54.29 |
57.00 |
53.9 |
| XLU |
TREND UP |
0.76% |
1.55% |
54.22 |
55.49 |
|
54.60 |
57.32 |
54.1 |
| IBB |
TREND DOWN |
3.22% |
3.24% |
100.66 |
107.38 |
|
101.42 |
106.49 |
100.5 |
| ITA |
RANGE |
1.09% |
6.36% |
182.35 |
196.85 |
BULL TRAP |
191.47 |
201.05 |
190.0 |
| IYT |
TREND UP |
2.91% |
0.68% |
186.71 |
193.45 |
|
187.10 |
196.45 |
185.5 |
| IYR |
TREND UP |
0.90% |
1.06% |
79.48 |
81.05 |
|
79.90 |
83.89 |
79.5 |
| XHB |
TREND DOWN |
1.06% |
1.20% |
34.21 |
35.00 |
|
34.34 |
36.06 |
34.0 |
| SMH |
TREND DOWN |
2.36% |
5.99% |
86.95 |
94.67 |
|
92.05 |
96.65 |
91.0 |
| FNG |
TREND DOWN |
6.60% |
0.21% |
17.53 |
18.73 |
|
17.06 |
17.96 |
16.8 |
二，上图很凌乱，看不出头绪。现在把它们重新整理一下。
| |
TREND |
POTENTIAL (UP) |
POTENTIAL (DOWN) |
SUPPORT |
RESISTENCE |
TOP/ BOTTOM AND TRAP |
BUY |
EXIT |
CUT |
| XLP |
TREND UP |
1.08% |
0.82% |
55.93 |
57.00 |
|
56.30 |
59.12 |
56.0 |
| XLV |
TREND UP |
1.34% |
0.28% |
90.80 |
92.27 |
|
90.53 |
95.06 |
90.0 |
| XLU |
TREND UP |
0.76% |
1.55% |
54.22 |
55.49 |
|
54.60 |
57.32 |
54.1 |
| IYT |
TREND UP |
2.91% |
0.68% |
186.71 |
193.45 |
|
187.10 |
196.45 |
185.5 |
| IYR |
TREND UP |
0.90% |
1.06% |
79.48 |
81.05 |
|
79.90 |
83.89 |
79.5 |
| QQQ |
TREND DOWN |
2.38% |
3.83% |
160.09 |
170.43 |
|
163.11 |
171.26 |
161.8 |
| IWM |
TREND DOWN |
1.43% |
3.89% |
144.70 |
152.71 |
|
148.18 |
155.59 |
147.2 |
| MDY |
TREND DOWN |
0.88% |
4.66% |
321.76 |
340.45 |
BULL TRAP |
332.13 |
348.74 |
330.2 |
| XLE |
TREND DOWN |
3.94% |
1.79% |
64.37 |
68.12 |
|
64.97 |
68.22 |
64.3 |
| IBB |
TREND DOWN |
3.22% |
3.24% |
100.66 |
107.38 |
|
101.42 |
106.49 |
100.5 |
| XHB |
TREND DOWN |
1.06% |
1.20% |
34.21 |
35.00 |
|
34.34 |
36.06 |
34.0 |
| SMH |
TREND DOWN |
2.36% |
5.99% |
86.95 |
94.67 |
|
92.05 |
96.65 |
91.0 |
| FNG |
TREND DOWN |
6.60% |
0.21% |
17.53 |
18.73 |
|
17.06 |
17.96 |
16.8 |
| SPY |
RANGE |
0.80% |
4.49% |
259.85 |
274.23 |
BULL TRAP |
268.48 |
281.90 |
267.1 |
| DIA |
RANGE |
0.75% |
0.79% |
251.05 |
254.97 |
BULL TRAP |
250.13 |
262.64 |
248.7 |
| XLY |
RANGE |
0.92% |
0.54% |
107.18 |
108.75 |
BULL TRAP |
105.69 |
110.98 |
104.9 |
| XLF |
RANGE |
2.31% |
0.63% |
26.56 |
27.35 |
|
26.62 |
27.95 |
26.4 |
| XLI |
RANGE |
0.91% |
6.06% |
66.99 |
71.96 |
BULL TRAP |
69.81 |
73.30 |
69.3 |
| XLB |
RANGE |
1.21% |
1.33% |
53.29 |
54.66 |
|
54.29 |
57.00 |
53.9 |
| ITA |
RANGE |
1.09% |
6.36% |
182.35 |
196.85 |
BULL TRAP |
191.47 |
201.05 |
190.0 |
三，现在应该能够看出一点门道了。
整个美股的大盘与板块由三个部分组成：上升板块，下降板块，震荡整理板块。
上升板块属水。水有波有浪，可以冲浪，可以观赏，功夫高点可以水上漂，有船可以顺流而下。
震荡整理板块属火。火的跳跃性很强，玩火比较危险。轻者火烧眉毛，重者灰飞烟灭。
下降趋势板块属电。电闪雷鸣很引人入胜，一旦近距离接触，往往会立刻被石化。如果人被异性所吸引，往往会有一种过电的感觉，但是结局十有八九是一种悲剧。注意：电，特别是高压电，要远离。
