印尼关门 不许美国说教

中美争夺影响力,拜登习近平对全球问题开出不同“药方”

储百亮, 黄瑞黎, KATIE ROGERS  

拜登总统和中国国家主席习近平周二在巴厘岛。

拜登总统和中国国家主席习近平周二在巴厘岛。 DOUG MILLS/THE NEW YORK TIMES

 

印度尼西亚巴厘岛——虽然拜登总统和中国国家主席习近平缓和了两国之间的紧张关系,但他们正在争夺在亚洲及其他地区的影响力,在如何解决贫困和乌克兰战争的问题上提出了相互竞争的立场。
 
习近平将中国描绘为亚洲坚定的合作伙伴,拒绝美国建立安全联盟的“冷战心态”。在周二的20国集团峰会上,他高弹阔论中国对抗贫困和冲突的“全球倡议”,同时公开对俄罗斯入侵乌克兰和总统弗拉基米尔·普京的核武威胁行为保持模糊立场。
 
“以意识形态划线,搞集团政治和阵营对抗,只会割裂世界,阻碍全球发展和人类进步,”习近平在印度尼西亚巴厘岛举行的G20会议开幕式上说。
 
拜登总统公布了西方富裕国家的新举措,承诺投入数千亿美元在贫穷国家建设基础设施,这一努力被广泛视为对中国“一带一路”倡议的反击,他会见了意大利和土耳其领导人,以加强对乌克兰的支持。
 
该峰会是世界上最大经济体的一次聚会,从中国和美国的议程可以看出,这两个大国如何通过相互竞争的优先事项和支出计划来吸引其他国家。这在援助和支持事项上会产生竞争,因此有时会令东道国印度尼西亚等中等国家受益,但也可能让这些国家担心被夹在两个相互推搡的巨头之间。
 
“这个团体对选边站不感兴趣,”澳大利亚悉尼洛伊研究所副研究员冯康云说,她指的是印度尼西亚等东南亚国家。“他们宁愿这两个国家自己想办法解决,这样他们就不会被夹在中间。”
高速列车于9月抵达印度尼西亚雅加达,该铁路连接项目是中国“一带一路”倡议的一部分。
高速列车于9月抵达印度尼西亚雅加达,该铁路连接项目是中国“一带一路”倡议的一部分。 AJENG DINAR ULFIANA/REUTERS
 
此次印度尼西亚之行是习近平近年来首次亲自出席中国以外的重大全球聚会。自大流行暴发以来,他的首次出访是在9月前往乌兹别克斯坦。上个月,中国共产党全国代表大会将他的统治又延长了五年,他的权力得到了加强,习近平似乎准备好为中国的外交重新注入力量。他曾表示,他希望中国更有力地推动解决世界问题的办法。
 
但是,冯康云说,习近平不愿对乌克兰采取更明确的立场,也不愿涉足寻求停止战争的复杂任务,这也表明,如果中国寻求取代美国成为全球权力掮客,它将面临种种局限。
 
习近平利用G20的全球平台推动所谓的“全球安全倡议”,这是今年早些时候开始的一项模糊提议,旨在为国际冲突和威胁提供中国的解决方案。该提议似乎至少部分源自中国政府对批评的敏感,因为当俄罗斯入侵乌克兰时,中国未能坚持其宣称的尊重主权。
 
目前看来,该提议是“中国说,‘我不喜欢美国人的所作所为’的升级版,但北京会提供什么,这一点对我来说并不完全清晰,”冯康云说。“我仍然不清楚他们能为这些困难的问题提供什么更好的答案。”
 
另一方面,拜登一直渴望加强美国的传统领导地位,他在周一表示,美国“在经济和政治上比世界上任何国家都更有准备,应对世界各地不断变化的情况”。
 
周二,他与意大利新任总理乔治亚·梅洛尼和土耳其总统雷杰普·塔伊普·埃尔多安举行了会谈,在乌克兰努力夺回被俄罗斯军队占领的领土之际,努力确保与这些国家的合作。
周二,在巴厘岛G20峰会参加会议的拜登总统。
周二,在巴厘岛G20峰会参加会议的拜登总统。 DOUG MILLS/THE NEW YORK TIMES
 
华盛顿的官员乐观地认为,此次峰会是其他领导人向习近平展示他们想法一致的机会。周二,法国总统埃马纽埃尔·马克龙会见习近平时,他敦促两国共同努力,制止乌克兰的战争。
 
在峰会上,其他领导人对世界上不断升级的冲突风险表示了越来越多的担忧。
 
“我们不应该把世界分成几部分,”印度尼西亚总统佐科·维多多在热带度假岛屿巴厘岛举行的会议开幕式上说。“我们不能让世界陷入另一场世界大战。”
 
周一,习近平和拜登试图缓解这种担忧,举行了近三小时的会谈,并承诺控制导致中美关系急剧恶化至数十年来最低水平的紧张局势。这样的信息在东南亚引起了共鸣,数十年来,该地区一直依靠中美之间的稳定关系来维持繁荣。近几个月来,一些高级官员对这两个大国关系的恶化表示担忧。许多官员称,他们对习拜会的结果感到欣慰。
 
“我不会说这是重启,但我希望它能为两国关系的下滑设定一个底线,”新加坡外交部巡回大使陈庆珠说。她敦促“两大国都应该牢记”,“我们真的不想成为附带损害”。
 
但拜登和习近平都承认美中将继续竞争,双方也都利用G20和一系列相关的区域性会议来修复和加强关系。
周一,拜登与习近平在巴厘岛举行了长达三小时的会谈。
周一,拜登与习近平在巴厘岛举行了长达三小时的会谈。 DOUG MILLS/THE NEW YORK TIMES
 
中国重新强调国际外联,说明了近年来该国形象在许多富裕国家的恶化。这也凸显出中国对加强与亚非国家关系、同时修复与西欧关系的兴趣,后者因中俄的亲密关系而受到损害。
 
习近平表现出希望收复一些外交失地。本月初,他在北京接见了德国总理肖尔茨。周二在巴厘岛与马克龙会晤期间,这位中国领导人继续努力劝说欧洲向中国稍稍靠拢。
 
“作为世界多极化格局中的两支重要力量,中法、中欧应该坚持独立自主、开放合作的精神,”根据中方的会谈总结,习近平这样说,用上了中国用来敦促欧洲不要与美国统一立场的措辞。
 
习近平还与澳大利亚总理阿尔巴尼斯举行了会谈,结束了中国在一系列分歧后冻结两国高层接洽的局面,这是中国有意改善其在该地区地位的又一迹象。
 
要说全世界哪个地区可能对习近平的高调承诺感兴趣,那就是受中国崛起影响最大的东南亚了。中国已经斥资数十亿美元在印尼和菲律宾等国家建造高铁、桥梁、大坝和高速公路。
周二,习近平在巴厘岛会见印尼总统佐科·威多多。
周二,习近平在巴厘岛会见印尼总统佐科·威多多。 POOL PHOTO BY KEVIN LAMARQUE
 
即便如此,那里还是有许多人希望华盛顿继续参与其中。
 
“与美国不同,中国永远不会退回到太平洋的另一边,”堪培拉澳大利亚国立大学战略政策研究教授吴翠玲说。“但仍有一种强烈的倾向认为,美国在该地区保持领先地位是件好事。”
 
在被奥巴马政府基本遗忘,随后又被特朗普政府忽视多年之后,东南亚许多人都表示,他们对拜登政府的重新关注表示欢迎。美国高级官员多次访问该地区,拜登政府提出了“印太经济繁荣框架”,抗衡中国的影响力。但它并未提供对美国的市场准入,让许多东南亚国家感到失望。
 
印尼近年来向中国靠拢,来自中国的投资很受欢迎。印尼海事与投资统筹部长卢胡特·宾萨·潘杰坦在接受采访时表示,中国总理李克强乐于遵守他为中国在印尼投资设下的条件,包括承诺印尼不承担政府债务,以及中国将提供技术转让等等。
 
“他们从不发号施令,”卢胡特说。
 
相较之下,卢胡特表示,在批准任何投资之前,美国通常会向印尼提出一系列繁复要求。“我是这样告诉美国的:‘用这种态度跟我们打交道,门都没有,’”他说。“我可以选择任何国家,但别怪到我们头上。”
 
At G20 Summit, Xi and Biden Offer Rival Visions for Solving Global Issues
China and the United States showed how global summits are an arena for great powers to compete, with implications for the war in Ukraine and Asia’s future.
 
 

President Biden and China’s leader, Xi Jinping, in Bali on Tuesday.

 

President Biden and China’s leader, Xi Jinping, in Bali on Tuesday.Credit...Doug Mills/The New York Times

By Chris BuckleySui-Lee Wee and Katie Rogers, 

BALI, Indonesia — While President Biden and his Chinese counterpart, Xi Jinping, have eased tensions between their countries, they are vying for influence in Asia and beyond, offering competing stances on how to address poverty and the war in Ukraine.

Mr. Xi has cast China as a steadfast partner to the region, rejecting what he described as the United States’ “Cold War mentality” of forming security alliances. At the Group of 20 summit on Tuesday, hespoke loftily about China’s “global initiatives” to fight poverty and strife, while remaining publicly vague about Russia’s invasion of Ukraine and President Vladimir V. Putin’s nuclear saber rattling.

“Drawing ideological lines or promoting group politics and bloc confrontation will only divide the world, and hinder global development and human progress,” Mr. Xi told the opening session of the G20 meeting in Bali, Indonesia.

President Biden unveiled fresh steps by rich Western countries promising hundreds of billions of dollars to build infrastructure in poor countries, an effort widely seen as a counter to China’s Belt and Road Initiative, and he met with leaders from Italy and Turkey to shore up support for Ukraine.

The agendas of China and the United States at the summit, a gathering of the world’s biggest economies, showed how both powers are courting other nations with dueling priorities and spending programs. That rivalry can sometimes benefit middle powers — like Indonesia, the host country — by generating competition to provide aid and support, but it can also leave them fearful of being squeezed between the jostling giants.

“This grouping is not interested in choosing sides,” said Courtney J. Fung, an associate fellow at the Lowy Institute in Sydney, Australia, referring to Southeast Asian countries like Indonesia. “They would rather that these two states figure it out so that they don’t get crushed in the middle.”

A high-speed train for a rail link project, part of China’s Belt and Road Initiative, arriving at Jakarta, Indonesia, in September.Credit...Ajeng Dinar Ulfiana/Reuters

 

For Mr. Xi, his trip to Indonesia was his first in-person appearance at a major global gathering outside China in recent years. His first trip abroad since the pandemic took hold was to Uzbekistan in September. His power bolstered by a Chinese Communist Party congress that last month extended his rule for another five years, Mr. Xi appears poised to recharge China’s diplomacy. He has said he wants China to more vigorously promote its solutions to the world’s problems.

But Mr. Xi’s reluctance to take a clearer stance on Ukraine, or to wade into the complicated task of seeking to stop the war, also showed the limits China faces should it seek to displace the United States as a global power broker, Ms. Fung said.

Mr. Xi used the global platform of the G20 to promote a so-called Global Security Initiative, a vague proposal begun earlier this year to offer China’s solutions to international conflict and threats. The idea appears to be at least partly driven by the Chinese government’s sensitivity to criticisms that it failed to stand by its declared reverence for sovereignty when Russia invaded Ukraine.

So far, the proposal was “an upgrade in China saying ‘I don’t like what the Americans have done,’ but it’s not entirely clear to me what Beijing is offering,” Ms. Fung said. “It’s still unclear to me what better answers they can offer to difficult questions.”

Mr. Biden, on the other hand, has been eager to reinforce the United States’ traditional leadership, saying on Monday that the United States is more “prepared than any country in the world, economically and politically, to deal with the changing circumstances around the world.”

He held meetings with Giorgia Meloni, Italy’s new prime minister, and President Recep Tayyip Erdogan of Turkey on Tuesday, seeking to secure their cooperation as Ukraine fights to take back territory seized by Russian forces.

President Biden at a meeting during the G20 summit in Bali on Tuesday.Credit...Doug Mills/The New York Times

 

Officials in Washington were optimistic that the summit was an opportunity for other leaders to show Mr. Xi that they are aligned in their thinking. When President Emmanuel Macron of France met with Mr. Xi on Tuesday, he urged their two countries to work together to stop the war in Ukraine.

At the summit, other leaders expressed growing concerns about the escalating risk of conflict in the world.
“We should not divide the world into parts,”President Joko Widodo of Indonesia said in his opening speech to the meeting in Bali, a tropical resort island. “We must not allow the world to fall into another world war.”

On Monday, Mr. Xi and Mr. Biden sought to assuage such fears, meeting for nearly three hours and promising to rein in tensions that had caused ties between China and the United States to spiral to their lowest in decades. The message resonated in Southeast Asia, which for decades had counted on a stable relationship between China and the United States to preserve its prosperity. In recent months, senior officials have expressed alarm about the deterioration in ties between the powers. Many said they were relieved by the outcome of Mr. Biden and Mr. Xi’s meeting.

“I would not use the word reset, but I hope it sets a floor to how low the relationship can fall,” said Chan Heng Chee, the ambassador at large with Singapore’s Ministry of Foreign Affairs. She urged “both powers to bear in mind” that “we really do not want to be collateral damage.”

Still, Mr. Biden and Mr. Xi acknowledged that the United States and China would keep competing, and each has used the G20 and a cluster of related regional meetings to repair or strengthen ties.

Mr. Biden met with Mr. Xi for three hours on Monday in Bali.Credit...Doug Mills/The New York Times

 

China’s renewed emphasis on international outreach reflects the deterioration of the country’s image in many wealthy countries in recent years. It also underscores Beijing’s interest in shoring up its ties with nations across Asia and Africa, while trying to repair relations with Western Europe, which have been hurt by China’s closeness with Russia.

Mr. Xi has already shown how he hopes to regain some of that lost diplomatic ground. Early this month, he hosted the German chancellor, Olaf Scholz, in Beijing. During his meeting in Bali on Tuesday with Mr. Macron, the Chinese leader continued trying to coax Europe a little closer to Beijing.

In another sign of China’s interest in improving its standing in the region, Mr. Xi also held talks with the Australian prime minister, Anthony Albanese, ending Beijing’s freeze on top-level contacts between the two countries after a series of disagreements.

If there is one region in the world where Mr. Xi’s soaring promises may find an interested audience, it is Southeast Asia, which has felt China’s rise more inexorably than any other. Beijing has spent billions of dollars to build high-speed trains, bridges, dams, and highways in places like Indonesia and the Philippines.

Mr. Xi with President Joko Widodo of Indonesia in Bali on Tuesday.Credit...Pool photo by Kevin Lamarque

Even so, many there hope Washington stays involved.

“Unlike the United States, China is not ever going to withdraw to the other side of the Pacific,” Evelyn Goh, a professor of strategic policy studies at the Australian National University in Canberra, said. “But there is still a very strong preference that it would be great if the United States could remain forward positioned in the region.”

After years of being largely forgotten by the Obama administration and then ignored by the Trump government, many in Southeast Asia say they welcome the renewed attention from the Biden administration. Top officials have made multiple trips to the region, and the Biden administration has offered the Indo-Pacific Economic Framework as a counter to China’s influence. But it stopped short of offering tariff reductions to the United States, which has disappointed many in Southeast Asia.

In Indonesia, which has tilted closer to China in recent years, Beijing’s investment is welcome. In an interview, Luhut Binsar Pandjaitan, Indonesia’s coordinating minister of maritime and investment affairs, said Premier Li Keqiang of China was happy to comply with his conditions on Chinese investment in Indonesia. Those included promising that Indonesia would not take on government debt and that the Chinese would provide technology transfer, among others.

“They never, ever dictate,” Mr. Luhut said.

In contrast, Mr. Luhut said, the United States often comes with a list of onerous requirements for Indonesia to fulfill before any investment is approved. “I told Washington about this: ‘The way you deal with us, forget it,” he said. “I can go anywhere, but don’t blame us.”

Jim Tankersley contributed reporting.

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