耶伦离任前谈中美沟通的重要性 关税伤害美国人

2024-12-12 耶伦离任前谈中美沟通的重要性和关税

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Sa-AGtvtzE0

支持这些这些行业，但广泛的关税，几乎所有的经济学家都同意，通过提高价格来伤害我们自己。让我把话题转到中国，这是一种关系，我认为你已经投入了大量的时间和精力来重建华盛顿和北京之间的沟通渠道。

现在你的代表们正在前往中国与他们的同行举行会议。据报道，会议也在南非举行。嗯，有人担心，如果这种关系，美中关系回到你四年前上任时的状态，会发生什么？这有多让你担心？如果你为恢复这种关系所做的努力付诸东流，后果会是什么？

所以我认为重要的是，要与各个层面保持持续沟通，从美国高级官员到需要沟通的工作人员，只要有开放的沟通渠道，就很有价值，我相信这将被视为继续提供价值，通过这些渠道，我们可以明确表达我们对什么不满，我们的担忧在哪里，以及我们为什么有这些担忧，我们对俄罗斯的经济政策有重大担忧，我们在这些渠道中讨论了这些政策，我们也分享了全球利益，无论是在气候变化、抗击流行病、应对可能影响全球金融市场的潜在金融混乱方面，我们也在利用这些渠道建立对合作渠道的信任，以便我们可以在利益一致的地方共同努力，所以毫无疑问，无论是从国家安全的角度，还是从更广泛的经济角度，我们对中国的行为都有严重的担忧，但尽管如此，中国仍然是世界上最大的两个经济体世界

保持开放的沟通渠道至关重要，这有助于避免误解。

当我们采取行动时，例如出口管制或我们最近的对外投资限制，我们已经建立了这些渠道来解释我们试图实现的目标，以避免误解不必要地恶化关系，你对是什么让你的对手感到满意有特别的见解。我想通过你进行的那些对话。我们已经看到当选总统谈到了大规模的普遍惩罚性关税

你是否知道如果他们受到这样的威胁，他们会如何回应

我真的不想举杯庆祝

我的许多国家在面对这种单方面行动时

寻找报复的方法

我猜他们会这样做

我们在令人担忧的领域

我曾多次表达对产能过剩的担忧在中国先进制造业和清洁能源半导体等行业，我们认为这反映了积极的大量补贴，这些补贴正充斥着世界出口，并威胁着将我们的公司赶出我们认为对我们未来至关重要的领域，我们现在实施了关税，它们是战略性的，它们影响了价值 80 亿美元的贸易，当然不是我们与中国的所有贸易，我们这样做是为了确保中国的行动不会破坏我们自己支持这些行业的计划，但广泛的关税，几乎所有经济学家都同意，他们会通过大幅提高价格来伤害我们，并使需要中国投入的企业获得这些投入的成本更高，从而损害我们依赖这些进口的企业的竞争力，所以我们采取了一种战略方针，重点关注狭窄的领域和广泛的领域，我有大多数经济学家对

[音乐] 表示严重关切

2024-12-12 耶伦离任前谈中美沟通的重要性和关税

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Sa-AGtvtzE0

support these these sectors but broad-based tariffs almost all economists agree that what they will do is hurt us by raising prices Poss

let me pivot to China and this has been

a relationship I think you've invested a

lot of time and energy in of rebuilding

a conduit of communication between

Washington and Beijing you have deputies

right now heading to China for meetings

with their counterparts meetings taking

place in South Africa as well reportedly

um there is concern about what would

happen if that relationship the US China

relationship were to return to the place

it was in when you took office now four

years ago how much does that concern you

and what would the consequences of that

be if if the efforts that you've put in

to rehabilitate that relationship go to

the Wayside so I do think it's important

to have ongoing um Communications at all

levels um from to senior us officials to

uh staff that need to communicate just

having open channels of communication is

valuable and um I believe it will be

seen as continuing to offer value

these are channels by which we can make

clear what we're unhappy about um where

our concerns are and why we have them um

well we have significant concerns about

um Russia's economic policies um that we

discuss in these channels it's also the

case that we we have shared Global

interests whether it's in um climate

change combating pandemics dealing with

potential Financial disruptions that

could affect um Global Financial markets

we're also using these channels to um

build trust in channels for cooperation

so that we can work together where our

interests coincide so there's no

question that we have serious concerns

both from a national security point of

view and a broader economic view with

China's Behavior but nevertheless is the

two largest economies um in the world

it's critical to have open channels of

communication it helps avoid

misunderstandings we've Ed these

channels um when we've taken action like

export controls or our recent outbound

investment restrictions to explain what

we're trying to accomplish to um avoid

Mis

understandings that can worsen the

relationship needlessly you have a

particular insight into what makes your

counterparts tick I imagine through

those conversations that that you've had

and so we've seen the president-elect

talk about large Universal punitive

tariffs do you have any insight into how

they might respond if they are

threatened with something like that well

I really don't want to make a forast my

my many countries when they're faced

with um unilateral actions of that sort

um look for ways to retaliate and my

guess would be that they would do that

um we have in areas of concern where I

I've expressed repeatedly concerns with

overcapacity that is developed in

Chinese Advanced manufacturing

Industries and clean energy

semiconductors and the like um we think

it reflects active large subsidies that

are flooding the world with exports and

threaten to drive our firms out of

business in areas that we think are

critical to our own future um we've put

in place tariffs now it's they're

strategic uh they affected $8 billion

worth of trade certainly not all of our

trade with China and um we we did it to

make sure that China's actions don't

undermine our own uh plans to support

these uh these sectors but broad-based

tariffs um almost all economists agree

that what they will do is hurt us by

raising prices possibly substantially

and making it more expensive for firms

that need inputs from China to be able

to acquire them and harm our compe

iveness of firms that rely on those

Imports so we've taken a strategic

approach um focusing narrowly and a

broad-based approach um I have serious

concerns with as most Economist to for