热火的三驾马车 - LeBron, Wade, and Bosh, 随便哪个人如果手顺起来,轻松拿30分没有什么问题。如果防守得比较好的话,降低他们的命中率,LeBron and Wade, 每个人20分出头总还是起码的。那么有什么比较好的限制他们的手段吗?说实话,如果我有的话,我也不会坐在这里码字了:)
去年预测小牛的冠军的时候我说过,那是打败热火可能性最大的一年,因为他们还没有完全融合,辅助球员也较勉强。到最后,Dirk发飚,LeBron choked, 小牛队才把他们拿下。那么他们的成功经验有什么可以借鉴呢?我认为有两点。
第一,不可能同时限制住三个人,希望有可能限制住其中一个,或者一个半。相对来讲,Bosh是比较起来相对容易限制,因为他比较怕硬朗的球员。Tyson Chandler is just made for that task.
第二,一对一,纽约根本防不住 LeBron 和 Wade,更不要说同时。再加上最好的 perimeter defender Shumpert 有伤,那更是雪上加霜。所以只有多用联防,希望用集体的站位来卡住这两个最好球员的冲击。
小林的横向移动速度不行,而且防守经验不够,经常看见他在pick and roll, 或者对速度快的后卫变向后根本跟不上的现象。如果坚持要盯人防守的话,LeBron and Wade这样经验丰富的进攻队员,一定会猛打小林这一点,同时起到限制他进攻的作用,并消耗他的体力。
众所周知,破联防最好的办法就是以准确的三分打击,虽然LeBron and Wade都可以投三分,而且手风顺的话,有可能会很精准。但是毕竟不是靠这个吃饭的,只能希望他们到时候不那么准了。
热火队从外围冲击内线的能力极强,内线的压力一定很大,Chandler很有可能早早地的两次犯规,被换下场。估计Jeffries will see a lot of minutes, 好在他的防守也很不错,人也很顽强。
It\'s a team game, Amare and Melo should definitely work hard at the defensive end, to block out, to help double, to put a hand up, and to rebound. Lin needs to work a lot harder to fight through the pick and stay with him man, at least bother the shots a little bit. One more thing, I find increasingly not too happy with Lin is, I think he needs to be more alert and more active on those long boards. He needs to help with those long rebounds, or at least box out.
It\'s just one game, and it won\'t decide anything. The pressure is actually at the Heat side. As Magic Johnson put it last night, If I were LeBron or Wade, I would be super mad, because Lin has stolen all the spotlights. I would want to come out hungry, and do something about it. If Lin can stay calm, and doesn\'t get intimidated, even if they got a rough start at a hostile arena, there is chance. After all, it\'s not the playoff\'s 7 game series format, it\'s NBA, and it\'s just one night, anything could happen.
I won\'t be surprised at all, if Knicks were beaten tonight. All I want to see is that they can play well, try their best, and build confidence to hang on with the top team. If they can achieve that, it would be a huge plus.