Image the game clock down to the last 5 seconds in the super bowl and your home town team are down by six and your favorite quater back will take a snap at the your own 30 yard line. What is he going to do? Hail Mary pass! Guess what? It is caught in the end zone and this goes down the history book as one of the wildest finish in the super bowl.
Sure, this is exciting stuff. But investment is not about excitement and it is about slow and steady making money. If you go for broke every trade, you will be disappointed most of the time. The best move is to get to first down. Once in rythm, your chance to catch that big break is actually better. If you try hard, it will take you out of the rythm and the ball most likely didn't connect.