股市进入新年一月，一月有个“一月效应”，通常大盘向上动力比较大。一月收阳的次数历史上比较多。所以，一月总体上看牛。但由于大盘自去年下半年以来涨幅已经过大，透支了今年一月效应的潜力，所以，今年一月应谨慎看多。
作为基金波段交易，我们的策略是向上逐步逢高减仓。但至少保持20%的持仓比例。
YMYD
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