导言：中国崛起为大国俱乐部
Oriana Skylar Mastro
https://doi.org/10.1093/oso/9780197695067.003.0001
出版日期：2024 年 5 月
摘要
本导言章节阐述了所研究的主要难题：过去三十年来，中国如何努力建立权力和影响力？哪些因素决定了北京所采取的战略？本章介绍了国际政治中权力积累背后的传统观点，并提出了对中国崛起的新解释——“新贵”战略。本章描述了将用于检验这一论点可行性的实证证据。然后将这项研究置于有关崛起大国和大国竞争的更广泛文献中，并为接下来的章节提供路线图。
中国的崛起战略：与 Oriana Skylar Mastro 博士的对话
2024 年 6 月 7 日 https://chinapower.csis.org/podcasts/chinas-upstart-strategy/?
在本期 ChinaPower 播客中，Oriana Skylar Mastro 博士与我们一起讨论她的新书《崛起者》，该书为中国崛起为大国提供了全新的视角。Mastro 博士通过三种不同的方式分析了中国过去 30 年的创新实力建设：模仿、开发和创业。Mastro 博士探讨了中国如何模仿美国的活动、利用美国的盲点以及采用创新方法。Mastro 博士认为，崛起者的视角让我们能够更好地理解中国的战略算计。最后，马斯特罗博士向美国决策者解释了她的建议，例如在南海争端方面增强美国的“企业家精神”，并对中国未来十年的做法进行了预测。
奥里安娜·斯凯拉·马斯特罗博士是弗里曼·斯波利国际问题研究所的中心研究员，也是斯坦福大学政治学兼职助理教授，她的研究重点是中国军事和安全政策、亚太安全问题、战争终止和强制外交。她还是卡内基国际和平基金会的非常驻学者，并继续在五角大楼的美国空军预备役部队服役。由于她对美国亚洲战略的贡献，她获得了 2016 年和 2022 年年度个人预备役奖 (FGO)。她发表过大量文章，包括《国际安全》、《安全研究》、《外交事务》、《战略研究杂志》、《华盛顿季刊》、《经济学人》和《纽约时报》。
Introduction: China's Rise to the Great Power Club
Abstract
This introductory chapter lays out the main puzzle under examination: How has China tried to build power and influence over the past thirty years? What factors have determined the strategies Beijing has pursued? This chapter presents the conventional wisdom behind power accumulation in international politics and advances a new explanation for China's rise—the "upstart" strategy. The chapter describes the empirical evidence that will be used to examine the viability of this argument. It then situates this study within the broader literature on rising powers and great power competition, and provides a road map for the remaining chapters ahead.China's Upstart Strategy: A Conversation with Dr. Oriana Skylar Mastro
In this episode of the ChinaPower podcast, Dr. Oriana Skylar Mastro joins us to discuss her new book, Upstart, which provides a fresh perspective on China’s rise to great power status. Dr. Mastro analyzes China’s innovative buildup of power over the past 30 years through three distinct approaches: emulation, exploitation, and entrepreneurship. Dr. Mastro explores ways China has mirrored U.S. activities, capitalized on U.S. blind spots, and embraced innovative approaches. Dr. Mastro argues that the Upstart lens allows us to better understand Chinese strategic calculations. Finally, Dr. Mastro explains her recommendations to U.S. policy makers, such as increasing U.S. “entrepreneurship” with respect to disputes in the South China Sea, and provides her predictions for China’s approach in the coming decade.
Dr. Oriana Skylar Mastro is a Center Fellow at the Freeman Spogli Institute for International Studies and Courtesy Assistant Professor of Political Science at Stanford University, where her research focuses on Chinese military and security policy, Asia-Pacific security issues, war termination, and coercive diplomacy. She is also a nonresident scholar, Carnegie Endowment for International Peace and continues to serve in the United States Air Force Reserve at the Pentagon. For her contributions to U.S. strategy in Asia, she won the Individual Reservist of the Year Award in 2016 and 2022 (FGO). She has published widely, including in International Security, Security Studies, Foreign Affairs, Journal of Strategic Studies, The Washington Quarterly, the Economist and the New York Times.
