1. 日元要跌。美国收QE,日本继续QE2. 美国国债跌。everyone will try to front-run Fed3. 从美股的反应来看,近期向下的可能性较大 spx is up ~14% YTD, some profit taking in summer given Fed's stance.个人之见disclosure: 持有JPY和30yr bond空仓