一周检讨2010-03-19

本周重要指数收市
1. DOW 10741.98, 前期高点10725.43, MACD上涨-水平通道中,技术展望
后市续涨空间约为1%-2%
2. Nasdaq 2374.41, 前期高点2320.4, MACD上涨-水平通道中,技术展望
后市续涨空间约为1%
3. XLF $15.69, MACD上涨-水平通道中
4. OIL $25.89, MACD上涨-水平通道中
5. GLD $107.95, MACD下行通道中,金价从2009年12月第2个星期以来一直在横向发展.
6. EUO(美元对欧元) $20.71, MACD上行通道中,如果美元此月波段持续向上,从技术线性上看可视为脱离长期走低趋势的一个确认.
7.SPX 1159.99,前期高点1150.23 比上周收盘+10.09, MACD上涨-水平通道中
20MA 1130.28, 50MA 1115.07, 200MA 1049.58

本周重要经济数据及事件

Monday: Industrial production for February increased 0.1%, which is slightly better than the the flat reading that had been expected, while at 72.7% capacity utilization for the month was in-line with expectations. The Empire Manufacturing Index for March hit 22.9, which is a bit better than the 22.0 that was widely forecast, but not quite as strong as the 24.9 that had been posted for February.

Tuesday: Annualized housing starts for February hit a higher-than-expected rate of 575,000 and building permits for February made a smaller-than-expected dip to an annualized rate of 612,000. Meanwhile, import prices made a slightly steeper-than-expected 0.3% monthly dip in February.
FOMC released its statement that it continues to target a federal funds rate from 0.00% to 0.25% and that it expects an exceptionally low level for an extended period of time.

Thursday: In other economic news, initial jobless claims for the week ended Mar. 13 totaled 457,000, which is on par with the 455,000 initial claims that had been expected and down 5,000 from the prior week. Continuing claims totaled 4.58 million, which is greater than the 4.52 million continuing claims that had been expected. Continuing claims for the prior week were upwardly revised to 4.57 million, though.
The Philadelphia Fed Index for March came in at 18.9, which is a bit above the reading of 18.0 that had been expected. Leading Indicators registered a 0.1% increase, as expected.
Though this session\'s action was choppy, and at times sloppy, volatility dropped to a fresh 52-week low. The Volatility Index closed 1.7% lower.

Friday: Greece said it might need to turn to the International Monetary Fund for support if European leaders can\'t agree on a bailout plan next week.
India bank rate hike unexpectly: The bank raised the benchmark repo rate -- at which the central bank makes short-term loans to commercial banks -- to 5 percent and raised the reverse repurchase rate -- the rate at which it borrows from commercial banks -- to 3.5 percent, with immediate effect

下周重要事件
星期天健保法案表决
The coming week brings reports on sales of new and existing homes and orders for big-ticket manufactured items. Investors have been able in recent weeks to shrug off disappointing housing stats. However, they might become nervous if the numbers start looking overly weak.

上周技术展望
小幅上涨或横向宽幅振荡/实际SPX上涨0.87%
下周技术展望
横向宽幅振荡或下跌.继续小幅上涨的可能低比率存在.DOW,XLF有较多补涨空间.