周三盘前:寂静的早晨

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上班路过小河边的树林,鸟语声声,是一天开始的meditation。偶然有一天,树林寂静无声,却是为何?

昨天NAS创新高,QQQ没有,VIX向12跌落。昨天科技板块上涨AMZN贡献很大,相对而言,NAS涨幅不足。今天AMZN可能要继续上冲,直到有一天当日反转。有人说市场对贸易战的消息审美疲劳,其实不然。当VIX很高是对坏消息耐受,VIX降下来,坏消息会打压市场的。今年上半年股市反弹气势不够,刚有点能量,就被打废。因此今年应该是一个弱开弱走,全年难以够到一月的境界。

展望和操作:今天建第二批空仓,战前部署决定VIX 13以下做空,那就进场不惧。本月下旬有一定可能出回调,针对这个可能适量布局。

这里的黎明静悄悄,往日的鸟语变成一片沉寂,因为天上有一对鹰在盘旋。

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