价格 日期 获利成交
0 236 Feb 20
1 231 Feb 21
2 223 Feb 24
3 218 Feb 26 W
4 209 Feb 27 W
5 200 Feb 28 W
6 207 Mar 2 W
7 218 Mar 3
8 212 Mar 4 W
9 212 Mar 5 W
10 205 Mar 6 W
11 196 Mar 7 W
12 200 Mar 10 W
13 198 Mar 11
14 182 Mar 12 W
15 184 Mar 13 W
16 175 Mar 14 W
17 170 Mar 17 W
18 177 Mar 18 W
19 176 Mar 19 W
20 180 Mar 20 W
23 170 Mar 21 W
24 170 Mar 23 W
Baba
价格 日期 获利成交
0 221 Feb 20
1 214 Feb 21
2 205 Feb 24 W
209 Feb 25 W
3 210 Feb 26 W
4 204 Feb 27 W
5 200 Feb 28 W
6 206 Mar 2 W
7 209 Mar 3 W
8 210 Mar 4 W
9 212 Mar 5 W
10 204 Mar 6 W
11 196 Mar 9 W
12 205 Mar 10 W
13 201 Mar 11
14 188 Mar 12 W
15 191 Mar 13 W
16 179 Mar 16 W
17 179 Mar 17 W
18 181 Mar 18 W
19 182 Mar 19 W
20 186 Mar 20 W
23 174 Mar 21 W
24 173 Mar 23 W
这一次的市场波动从Feb 20 开始，Mar 23触底。我参考每天10am 的市场价格（取整数），如果股价在买入之后有2元以上涨幅即算是获利成交，如果次日的股价于之前的还未成交的相同或相差不大，那么不再重复买入，如果次日的股价上涨使之前的买入获利成交，则参考当日3PM的市场价格（取整数），目的是尽可能每日有一单买入。
在这一次史上最快速度的熊市下跌过程中，当股市股价跌到最低处时，QQQ被套住了五笔博弈赌注，BABA是2笔，其中绝大多数买入单当日就获利成交，少数是2-3日内获利成交。这个结果好于我之前的猜想。
因为这里参考的是每个交易日固定时间的随机价格，所以没有任何的看图技巧。
看不看图，懂不懂看图都可以有好的结果，事实上绝大多数看图的人（无论水平高低）想达到不看图的水平是一件非常困难的事，这里就QQQ和BABA而言。
之前的帖子中，我有一个个人的看法：在每一个交易日的十点钟，用市场价格买入QQQ，无论之后世界上发生了什么事，在未来这一单都可以获利卖出，这是股市庄家的赌场优势。
我从赌场得到的最大教训就是战胜赌场优势是一件非常非常非常困难的事。
TECH AND POLITICAL PRESSURE. “I don’t think that when these [tech] tidal forces of change come in, the politicians, it’s like pissing against the tide. It won’t work. It’s just, the tide is too strong. And my maternal grandfather was in wholesale dry goods. … And when the 1920s came and the chains and Sears Roebuck’s rose, every wholesale dry-goods house in the country went broke. Nobody misses them! Nobody could stop the tide, and nobody’s going to stop the internet that enabled me to get that table for $100. And everybody’s threatened by it. And it’s not going away. And it shouldn’t go away. Those tides are important. It’s bad for the people whose business gets hit. But it’s good for the world that the — what would it be like if we were all digging for potatoes together?” “It is humbling, but you shouldn’t be surprised. In a world where we all die and all the great institutions that led the world pass the torch to other countries, why should we be surprised that these individual enterprises die or get weak? From death comes life.”- 芒格
